this post was submitted on 30 Aug 2025
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A Boring Dystopia
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You're right about most of this, but the carbon doesn't return to the atmosphere "as soon as they die".
I have a log in the back garden that has been there for twenty years, there's wood houses a hundred years old
Wooden houses will typically have a waterproof roof and some kind of treatment to prevent them rotting. A log that's left outside will release all it's carbon in much less than a century. Human intervention is needed for trees to achieve permanent carbon capture.
That wasn't always the case, though. After trees evolved lignin, it took a while for fungi to evolve ligninase to digest it, so trees fell over and just got buried under more trees later without rotting, and that's where a significant fraction of all coal came from.
I think the wildfires speed things up
Big oof.