this post was submitted on 25 Aug 2025
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Image, and a considerable amount of the preamble's analysis, comes from this article in People's Dispatch.


A week ago, the Bolivian left-wing party, the Movement Towards Socialism (MAS), currently led by Luis Arce, decisively lost the round of elections against the right-wing. This comes after a prolonged period of "infighting" between Arce, and Morales, who previously led the MAS prior to the 2019 coup which briefly installed Jeanine Anez.

I put infighting in quotes because despite the nominal similarities between Arce and Morales, it is clear that this is not merely a counterproductive battle between two men - instead, the Bolivian left has arrived at a time of unavoidable conflict between two competing strategies. The electoral strategy is represented by Arce, who has aligned himself with a more middle-class-oriented campaign that is more economically liberal, whereas Morales represents a more working-class-oriented campaign that seeks to go further than tepid reform.

Such a conflict between electoralism and revolutionary action is inevitable in any and every developing country that 1) possesses a functioning left-wing party or organization, and 2) is under internal and/or external pressure by capitalists. This crisis must be resolved eventually - and this electoral failure is how such a crisis is manifesting right now. So while the Bolivian left has indeed lost the election, it is not yet defeated. The revolutionary campaign can, if it is willing, still ultimately stand triumphant. But what must be done is a real movement towards socialism, which goes beyond technocrats reforming from above, and instead transforms the state into a full political project of the working class, in which their movements, organizations, and protests are genuinely empowered. Such a project will involve repression by the forces of reaction, not least by the United States, but it is the only road left to take.


Last week's thread is here.
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Israel's Genocide of Palestine

If you have evidence of Zionist crimes and atrocities that you wish to preserve, there is a thread here in which to do so.

Sources on the fighting in Palestine against the temporary Zionist entity. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:

UNRWA reports on Israel's destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.

English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news.
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.

English-language PalestineResist telegram channel.
More telegram channels here for those interested.

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict

Sources:

Defense Politics Asia's youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.
Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don't want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it's just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
Simplicius, who publishes on Substack. Like others, his political analysis should be soundly ignored, but his knowledge of weaponry and military strategy is generally quite good.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists' side.

Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.

Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:

Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.

https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster's telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a 'propaganda tax', if you don't believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.

Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:

Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.


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[–] Tervell@hexbear.net 47 points 1 week ago* (last edited 1 week ago) (1 children)

(machine translated) https://archive.ph/svp9V

New wave of migration after the war: why Ukraine may lack its own labor force

Ukraine risks losing most of its migrants: up to 70% may remain abroad. This is fraught with labor shortages and a new wave of emigration after the war. Ukraine's post-war recovery may face not so much a shortage of money as a shortage of labor. According to NBU estimates, another 200,000 people will leave the country by the end of 2025, and the same number in 2026. Thus, Ukraine may lose about 400,000 citizens in two years. This is stated in the material of the Office of Migration Policy. Back in the spring, the National Bank predicted a reverse process: 200 thousand Ukrainians were supposed to return in 2026, and even half a million in 2027. However, expectations have now been revised: the "net return" of migrants has been postponed for another year, and in 2027, according to the new forecast, only about 100 thousand people will return home.

Migrants strengthen the EU economy, but weaken Ukraine

In its July inflation report, the NBU warns that prolonged migration and the slow return of Ukrainians will lead to a serious labor shortage. This will limit the pace of economic recovery, provoke unevenness across sectors and regions, and put pressure on inflation, as wages will grow faster than productivity. At the same time, European countries are doing everything to retain Ukrainians. Their governments actively encourage Ukrainian workers to stay, because their work significantly increases economic growth. "Ukrainians are actively working, paying taxes and ensuring the growth of GDP in other countries. For example, in 2024, their contribution to the growth of the Polish economy was 2.7%. But for Ukraine itself, this means an even greater labor shortage and an exacerbation of the demographic crisis," explains Dilyara Mustafayeva, head of the analytical department of the Center for Economic Research and Forecasting "Financial Pulse." According to her, even though the average salary of Ukrainians abroad is a third lower than that of local residents, the benefit for recipient countries is obvious: the Czech Republic, Poland and Slovakia already receive more taxes from Ukrainians than they spend on supporting them.

After the war, a new wave of migration is possible: Ukraine will have to look for workers abroad

According to experts, the Ukrainian economy could lose up to 7.8% of its GDP annually if a significant portion of those who left during the war do not return. "The biggest challenge for the state is to create conditions that will encourage Ukrainians to stay at home and return from abroad. This includes affordable housing, new jobs, development of education, support for families and businesses," explains economist Dilyara Mustafayeva.

Without housing and work there will be no return

The head of the Migration Policy Office, Vasily Voskoboinik, shares a similar opinion. He notes that security is important, but housing, decent wages, and social infrastructure remain the decisive factors for people. "Ukraine did not build social housing even after 2014, when the first migrants appeared. Now that the war has destroyed 29% of the housing stock, this problem is even more acute. If the state does not begin mass construction of social housing, we risk maintaining high levels of migration and low birth rates," he says.

70% of Ukrainians may remain abroad

Experts currently estimate that there are about 7 million citizens outside of Ukraine. And the longer the war goes on, the less likely they are to return. "We predict that about 70% of Ukrainians who are abroad today will not return. There will be no sharp economic takeoff after the war, and this could trigger a new wave of labor migration - up to 2 million more people. Then the question will arise: who will physically work to restore the country?" warns Voskoboinik.

Ukraine may need immigrants

According to him, if labor migration continues, Ukraine will have to open the labor market to foreigners. "We must be prepared for the fact that in order to restore the country we will have to attract people from other countries. These could be specialists who will come, work here and potentially become part of the Ukrainian political nation. If we are against this process, we will find ourselves without workers, without a sufficient number of taxpayers and even without consumers for Ukrainian goods and services," he concludes.

boy, I'm sure all the Azovite nazis are going to be real happy about that!

Earlier, TSN.ua reported how much the population of Ukraine has decreased due to the war: https://archive.ph/v047N

[–] TraschcanOfIdeology@hexbear.net 19 points 1 week ago* (last edited 1 week ago) (1 children)

Ukrainians are actively working, paying taxes and ensuring the growth of GDP in other countries. For example, in 2024, their contribution to the growth of the Polish economy was 2.7%.

So are most other migrants but they're never talked about this way... Wonder why that is.