this post was submitted on 27 Aug 2025
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Not actually true, broadly true, but not actually true.
I strongly recommend not doing a blind calorie deficit for body composition purposes. This non-fasting deficiency will reduce your resulting metabolic rate.
Calories are measured by exploding items in a bomb Calorimeter and measuring the photons produced. This is a mechanical apparatus that tells us about combustion, but is not the human digestion system (there are real differences). For instance wood has amazing calorie density but doesn't do much for you as a human if you eat it.
It broadly works in that if your burning X calories per day but only supplying X-500 calories the deficiency will need to be mobilized from your stored fat (ideally), but the body can also solve this little math equation by reducing your metabolic rate reducing the burn, it certainly will increase your hunger and cravings.
Calories are 100% NOT interchangeable.
They key is that thermodynamics applies to closed systems without mass transfers. Humans are open systems that do mass transfers all the time pooping, eating, drinking, peeing, breathing (carbon, oxygen, water vapor), and while humans don't violate the laws of thermodynamics it is nearly impossible to isolate the system to meaningfully
The far more clinically relevant viewpoint is the [Paper] The Carbohydrate-Insulin Model of Obesity - Beyond “Calories In, Calories Out” - 2018
Fat burning, requires the absence of insulin in the blood. People using CICO for weight control are entering a low insulin state between meals, when they sleep, etc. Any time carbohydrates are consumed, blood glucose rises, raising insulin - when insulin is elevated the body will not mobilize fat from adipose tissue, i.e. it pauses fat burning. So someone eating the standard 3 meals and 3 snacks with carbs is pausing their fat burning 6 times per day (for 2-4 hours per eating session depending on their inherit insulin resistance) - Which is almost the entire day.
This means a calorie from carbohydrates pauses fat burning for 2-4 hours, but a calorie from fat or protein does not. A calorie is not a calorie.
There is a huge difference, as detailed above, the 1500 calories of sugar pauses the fat burning, the 1500 calories of protein does not. At the end of a day of eating sugar you will have less time actually burning stored fat.
The downvotes I get when I talk about the limitations of the CICO rule of thumb show how appealing it is to people, but the reality of the human system is rooted in hormones and they can't be ignored.
It is possible to burn fat while consuming more then 1500 calories per day, body recomposition is documented in case studies of hyper caloric diets.. this only works because of the insulin hormonal model.
Nice write up, thank you for taking the time.
Calories in VS calories out is true as a principle but what you eat and when you eat does play a role.
Also would like to add that the digestion itself uses energy and again, different foods require different amounts to be processed.
You are breaking calorie sources down into their biological dynamics. You need to compare calorie values with the carb/protein/fiber compositions. However, within the grouping of carbohydrates and fats you are dealing with a thermodynamic CICO situation because their metabolism is exothermic. Proteins undergo gluconeogenesis (turning them into glucose) which is a net energy loss but requires very low blood sugar levels to trigger it.
I agree that nutrition labels are pretty limited in how accurate they can be and how much room for analysis is left. Since I do a lot of my own cooking I'm forced to do a lot of estimating. I've found the best rule for myself is to watch portion sizes, stay a little hungry and keep carb heavy foods to a minimum.
For anyone interested in the gruesome details: https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/books/NBK26882/
Did you get a chance to read the carbohydrate insulin model of obesity paper?
i.e. the physics isn't important if you turn OFF fat burning, it's impossible to lose fat