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Image, and a considerable amount of the preamble's analysis, comes from this article in People's Dispatch.


A week ago, the Bolivian left-wing party, the Movement Towards Socialism (MAS), currently led by Luis Arce, decisively lost the round of elections against the right-wing. This comes after a prolonged period of "infighting" between Arce, and Morales, who previously led the MAS prior to the 2019 coup which briefly installed Jeanine Anez.

I put infighting in quotes because despite the nominal similarities between Arce and Morales, it is clear that this is not merely a counterproductive battle between two men - instead, the Bolivian left has arrived at a time of unavoidable conflict between two competing strategies. The electoral strategy is represented by Arce, who has aligned himself with a more middle-class-oriented campaign that is more economically liberal, whereas Morales represents a more working-class-oriented campaign that seeks to go further than tepid reform.

Such a conflict between electoralism and revolutionary action is inevitable in any and every developing country that 1) possesses a functioning left-wing party or organization, and 2) is under internal and/or external pressure by capitalists. This crisis must be resolved eventually - and this electoral failure is how such a crisis is manifesting right now. So while the Bolivian left has indeed lost the election, it is not yet defeated. The revolutionary campaign can, if it is willing, still ultimately stand triumphant. But what must be done is a real movement towards socialism, which goes beyond technocrats reforming from above, and instead transforms the state into a full political project of the working class, in which their movements, organizations, and protests are genuinely empowered. Such a project will involve repression by the forces of reaction, not least by the United States, but it is the only road left to take.


Last week's thread is here.
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Israel's Genocide of Palestine

If you have evidence of Zionist crimes and atrocities that you wish to preserve, there is a thread here in which to do so.

Sources on the fighting in Palestine against the temporary Zionist entity. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:

UNRWA reports on Israel's destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.

English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news.
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.

English-language PalestineResist telegram channel.
More telegram channels here for those interested.

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict

Sources:

Defense Politics Asia's youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.
Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don't want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it's just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
Simplicius, who publishes on Substack. Like others, his political analysis should be soundly ignored, but his knowledge of weaponry and military strategy is generally quite good.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists' side.

Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.

Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:

Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.

https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster's telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a 'propaganda tax', if you don't believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.

Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:

Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.


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[–] thethirdgracchi@hexbear.net 58 points 1 week ago* (last edited 1 week ago) (1 children)

Rather interesting article over the weekend about Trump's deployment of National Guard to Washington I thought I'd share from il manifesto. Behind a paywall, so I'll post the article below under spoilers. It's in Italian, so I've translated the best bit below:

Trump is an adventurer, doubtless with his own agenda composed of ego out of control and economic interest (the lethal cocktail that comes in service of this stage of capitalism), but is also the spokesperson without scruples of the faction of the Right that is presently in control of the Republican party and within a few years has completely changed its composition and culture. The Imperial Republic [of the United States] invoked many times over the last century is becoming a reality and that which awaits us has the capacity to destabilize the fragile European "democracies" more than fascism. The same authoritarian tendency manifesting itself also elsewhere–from London and Berlin by way of Rome–and does not have to deal today with a form of opposition or a resistance organization, coherent and equipped with a clear vision of the future. On the contrary, in some of these countries it comes with the assent of a left without principles or a backbone.

A pretty damning but accurate take on the miserable state of the Left in the Western world these days, watching the most obvious steps of the imperial centre and its vassals walking towards open fascism without so much as a peep. Things are going to have to get a lot worse before we see any resistence whatsoever I'm afraid.

Full articleNon è la prima volta che un presidente degli Stati uniti utilizza i poteri che ha a disposizione per ripristinare l’ordine pubblico. Normalmente questi interventi hanno luogo in situazioni di emergenza – per esempio per porre fine a disordini violenti – che sono ampiamente documentate e suscitano un allarme sociale. Quel che sta accadendo nelle ultime settimane ha un carattere peculiare.

L’invio della guardia nazionale a Washington non avviene per fare fronte a un’emergenza, ma come reazione a un «panico morale» alimentato in gran parte dallo stesso presidente. Nessun indicatore fa pensare che la situazione nella capitale degli Stati uniti sia peggiorata, e anzi ci sono dati che mostrano il contrario: recentemente il crimine violento è diminuito. Eppure, non solo Trump ha inviato le truppe, equipaggiate con armi letali, ma ha annunciato che potrebbe fare lo stesso anche in altri luoghi.

Questa dichiarazione è senza precedenti nella storia recente e suscita profonda preoccupazione, non solo negli Usa. Alcuni osservatori ipotizzano che le iniziative prese da Trump siano un tentativo di sollevare un polverone che distolga l’attenzione dell’opinione pubblica da altre notizie, potenzialmente sgradevoli per lui (il caso Epstein). Queste ipotesi potrebbero anche avere fondamento, tuttavia ci sono vari elementi che fanno pensare che, anche se l’invio delle truppe fosse motivato dall’intento di creare un diversivo, si colloca comunque all’interno di una tendenza autoritaria, di cui ci sono diverse conferme, dell’attuale amministrazione statunitense. L’uso dei militari in servizio e della guardia nazionale per far fronte a situazioni di emergenza legate all’immigrazione (gli immigrati sono spesso al centro delle dichiarazioni di Trump volte a creare una stato di allarme) era difeso da Ken Cuccinelli nel capitolo del Project 2025 della Heritage Foundation che ruotava intorno al Dipartimento della sicurezza nazionale e al modo in cui la nuova amministrazione avrebbe dovuto modificarlo in caso di vittoria nelle presidenziali. Misure eccezionali di questo tipo, secondo Russell Vought, un artefice del Project 2025, sarebbero giustificate perché l’attraversamento dei confini è un’invasione che renderebbe legittima una risposta di tipo militare.

L’idea di militarizzare la sicurezza nazionale era già emersa nel corso del primo mandato di Trump, ma oggi è probabilmente parte di un disegno politico più ampio e articolato, i cui contorni si trovano appunto nel Project 2025, per modificare l’assetto costituzionale e il regime politico vigente negli Stati uniti. Come scrive lo stesso Russell Vought: «Abbiamo bisogno di essere radicali nel disfarci o nel ripensare i paradigmi legali che hanno limitato la nostra abilità di ritornare alla costituzione originale».

Questo ci conduce a un motivo conduttore che risale agli anni della ricostruzione, dopo la guerra civile, e che ha radici profonde nella cultura politica e giuridica statunitense. Quello che si debba ripristinare una «situazione originale» sul piano costituzionale che è stata stravolta prima dalle misure imposte dal nord al sud per eradicare la schiavitù e poi, in maniera ancora più incisiva, nella stagione di egemonia liberale che comincia con il New Deal e termina con la prima vittoria di Ronald Reagan alle presidenziali.

L’aspetto interessante del modo in cui questo motivo viene ripreso oggi dalla destra statunitense è che il perno della strategia per ripristinare la «costituzione originale» non è più l’opposizione a livello locale (quello dei «diritti degli stati»), ma passa attraverso i poteri del presidente, di cui si cerca di promuovere una lettura sempre più ampia e svincolata da controlli. Trump è un avventuriero, indubbiamente con una propria agenda fatta di ego fuori controllo e di interessi economici (il cocktail letale che ci viene servito da questo stadio del capitalismo), ma è anche il portavoce privo di scrupoli di una fazione della destra che ha preso il controllo del partito repubblicano e nel giro di qualche anno ne ha completamente stravolto la composizione e la cultura. La repubblica imperiale più volte evocata nel secolo scorso sta diventando una realtà e quello che ci aspetta ha una capacità di destabilizzazione per le fragili democrazie europee superiore a quella avuta dal fascismo. La stessa tendenza autoritaria si sta manifestando anche altrove – da Londra a Berlino passando per Roma – e non deve fare i conti a oggi con nessuna forma di opposizione e resistenza organizzata, coerente e dotata di una chiara visione del futuro. Al contrario, in alcuni di questi paesi viene assecondata da una sinistra priva di principi e di spina dorsale.

[–] MarmiteLover123@hexbear.net 35 points 1 week ago* (last edited 1 week ago) (1 children)

Also one thing nobody is talking about:

Trump will also exploit race and class divides with the national guard deployments. Crime disproportionately affects the poor and minorities the most, and that is where the national guard will be deployed. When Trump did his parade with the national guard in Washington DC, he went to Anacostia, a neighbourhood with a mean household income of $75K and a median of $53K, and a 80-90% black population . The people protesting Trump were at Northwest Washington, which has a mean household income of $205K and a median of $126K, and is majority white. When Fox News did a propaganda piece in support of the national guard deployments, they interviewed a Muslim woman wearing a hijab who was in support.

There is a real danger that if the deployments work to reduce crime, even if it's only a temporary effect of criminals getting scared off by armed soldiers, that Trump and Republicans could get more support amongst the working class and minorities. More Latino men vote Republican than Democrat now, (with women only a handful of percentage points behind). This would be unheard of in 2016. 25% of black men also vote Republican (women are well behind here though).

[–] Euergetes@hexbear.net 11 points 1 week ago

There is a real danger that if the deployments work to reduce crime

i-cant don't worry about that lmao