this post was submitted on 04 Aug 2025
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Image is from the Wikipedia article on the Sudanese Civil War.


Al-Fashir, the capital of North Darfur (a little east of that deep red zone in the west of the megathread map), is the last major holdout of the Sudanese government in that state, and is currently under siege by the RSF. Losing it would be a significant blow to the SAF, though given how the conflict lines are shaping up, it seems increasingly plausible that there will be a de facto - if not de jure - partition of Sudan, unless the military situation substantially changes. This is because the RSF have been pushed out of central Sudan, while the SAF are being pushed out of Western Sudan - although, the situation is pretty complex and has been known to change rapidly before.

As has been a constant feature of the Sudan Civil War - perhaps the single worst humanitarian crisis on the planet right now when measured by numbers - the civilian situation pales in comparison to the military situation, with hundreds of thousands of children dead from famine, and tens of millions of people experiencing extreme food insecurity.

Al-Fashir has been the destination of many thousands of refugees fleeing genocide, and food and aid supplies into the town are being explicitly blocked by the RSF, resulting in scenes similar to what is happening in Gaza right now. The big difference is that fleeing from major battle zones is at least somewhat of an option, though people are often caught and robbed or enslaved or trafficked while moving to neighbouring towns and cities - and these cities are often experiencing similar conditions to places that refugees are leaving.


Last week's thread is here.
The Imperialism Reading Group is here.

Please check out the RedAtlas!

The bulletins site is here. Currently not used.
The RSS feed is here. Also currently not used.

Israel's Genocide of Palestine

If you have evidence of Zionist crimes and atrocities that you wish to preserve, there is a thread here in which to do so.

Sources on the fighting in Palestine against the temporary Zionist entity. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:

UNRWA reports on Israel's destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.

English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news.
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.

English-language PalestineResist telegram channel.
More telegram channels here for those interested.

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict

Sources:

Defense Politics Asia's youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.
Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don't want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it's just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
Simplicius, who publishes on Substack. Like others, his political analysis should be soundly ignored, but his knowledge of weaponry and military strategy is generally quite good.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists' side.

Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.

Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:

Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.

https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster's telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a 'propaganda tax', if you don't believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.

Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:

Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.


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[–] tricerotops@hexbear.net 19 points 18 hours ago* (last edited 18 hours ago) (1 children)

Good article. One more point for software engineers being animals: their context windows are likely to be way bigger than most users because they have these things churning on projects that have files and those files have a lot of code in them. Whereas meemaw asking about a recipe uses like 700 tokens. Attention in LLMs is quadratic. Every token "attends to" every other token. So meemaw's tokens might cost the same pricing wise but they don't cost the same compute wise.

[–] BigBoyKarlLiebknecht@hexbear.net 17 points 17 hours ago (2 children)

10000-com I was working on a take home project for a job I applied for, and I burned through my paid for Claude limits for the day soooo quickly - I wasn’t even using Claude Code or Cursor. Bear in mind this is a tiny, toy project, too. I remember the Steve Yegge article where he talked about companies incentivizing token spend and using it as a metric of assessing the performance of a developer (yes, tech execs are that detached from reality). I think wheels will fall off that wagon very quickly, right at the same time as the gelatinous soup of unmaintainable GenAI code begins to become a significant problem for companies, too.

[–] combat_brandonism@hexbear.net 9 points 13 hours ago (1 children)

the Steve Yegge article where he talked about companies incentivizing token spend and using it as a metric of assessing the performance of a developer

oo please share, I trust his takes way more than the Zitron slop folks have been sharing

Not that I think he's wrong per se, it's just the phenomenon where I know more than a journalist and so immediately get suspicious where they're covering an area I understand better than them. Case in point, two comments up this thread where Zitron's targeting Anthropic with his cost vs. revenue analysis when Cursor is re-selling their model for an order of magnitude less (vs. Claude Code) and clearly subsidizing it with VC bux.

[–] BigBoyKarlLiebknecht@hexbear.net 10 points 8 hours ago (1 children)

Sadly Yegge now works for Sourcegraph, and as such, is one of the most hyperbolic LLM shills out there. Here’s the article:

How do you know if you're doing AI right at your company? We've noticed that the companies that are winning with AI – the ones happy with their progress – tend to be the ones that encourage token burn. Token spend per developer per unit time is the new health metric that best represents how well your company is doing with AI: an idea proposed by Dr. Matt Beane and playing out in the field as we speak. I see companies saying, "If our devs are spending $100-$300 a day, that's much less than paying for another human engineer. So if AI makes our devs twice as productive, or in some cases only 50% more, we're winning."

There's an implicit assumption here that tokens == productivity. We don't have any data to back this up yet, so if you're about to have a seizure from wanting to argue with me, this would be a good spot to pounce and call bullshit on every word of this post.

kermit-pain

[–] combat_brandonism@hexbear.net 1 points 3 hours ago

lol that second paragraph tho

[–] tricerotops@hexbear.net 10 points 15 hours ago* (last edited 15 hours ago) (1 children)

I think you can get decent code out of these things but it's difficult. The question is what happens first: do we figure out how to use these things, or do we decide the whole endeavor is so unprofitable we stop trying?

[–] combat_brandonism@hexbear.net 10 points 13 hours ago

the best thing for the planet is the latter (in that it would leave it to open source & China), but I think we're well past the sunk cost inflection point so I don't think capital will abandon slop machines except to leave suckers holding the bag as the bubble pops.

we're rapidly approaching that bubble popping in the next few years, but we're probably a decade or two before enshittification really hits. they're not injecting ads in agent or chat bot interactions yet after all.