this post was submitted on 14 Jul 2025
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Image is from this article, of a Chilean copper quarry.

Title is a reference to Trump's social media post about copper, which was, as usual, mostly deranged.


Trying to follow Trump's administration is pretty difficult, but as of right now, he is threatening 30% tariffs on Mexico and the EU starting on August 1st, as well as new tariff announcements on a bunch of other countries (including, bizarrely, a 50% tariff on Brazil), and also apparently a 50% tariff on copper, which the US imports half its supply of and is, of course, a very important metal in many applications.

I'm not sure what the plan is to bring back domestic copper production beyond hoping that it just sorta works out, but prominent copper producers, such as Chile and Canada, seem both concerned and confused. Reuters had a line that made me chuckle:

Boric said he was awaiting official communication from the U.S. government, including whether the tariffs would include copper cathodes, and questioned "whether this will actually be implemented or not."

Big mood, Boric.


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https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
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Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:

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[–] notcepsov@hexbear.net 47 points 21 hours ago (47 children)

Alright so one thing I'll feel compelled to bring up is that since I've been doing stuff in the real world for a few months is that since I've been gone I noticed that the news mega has gone really down in quality where it seems that as long as you hit a certain amount of words your analysis is deemed 'materialist' or 'marxist' or whatever feelgood word that complete doomer nonsense is not challenged like someone writing a ton of words to explain why Russia will capitulated in 2026 because Trump said they'll send some new wunderwaffen to Ukraine something that would be mocked as liberal nonsense like a year ago is just quietly accepted.

Like it feels that there's just the constant doomer faction that has completely taken over and now it's this competition to be the most doomer with the most words and churning out the shittiest takes similar to AI slop.

And the reason I'm being kind of aggressive in my calling out here is that while yes some things suck now some people just read more like some western third world maoists that have had their brains cooked and are now unable to do anything because the empire is doing 120d chess moves that mean that whatever we do we've already lost and the western population will never do anything and yadda yadda.

I get why their brain has been pickled by being in this brine of doom juice but it really feels like some people just gotta expel those 'bad humors' by doing some good old honest praxis, to feel fucking solidarity and camaraderie in this world instead of whatever this feels like.

[–] MarmiteLover123@hexbear.net 31 points 19 hours ago* (last edited 18 hours ago) (9 children)

why Russia will capitulated in 2026 because Trump said they'll send some new wunderwaffen to Ukraine

That was absolutely not the point of my post, again why are we doing this weird subposting thing instead of directly replying? It wasn't even an analysis, it was merely stating that there's a lot of talk about the US giving Ukraine access to long range weapons with the range to hit Moscow, what that means is that these are the weapons systems are under consideration, with the range and a very brief overview of their capabilities and why that would be different than previous long range weapons deliveries. While expressing significant doubts that such a move will go ahead, no one should be surprised if it does. There was no analysis given at all to be honest.

For analysis, my analysis is not insightful and very basic, honestly not worth writing out or posting. A war of attrition cannot go on forever (given Ukraine's manpower issues, and Russia, while having a ton of equipment, does not have infinite stocks), so there will be attempts to break the attritional state. Russia chose to escalate the conflict again via large scale air attacks, similar to October last year. There is also much talk of a significant Russian summer offensive, to break the attritional state. However, this time around US/NATO/Ukraine had a different response to the air raids, starting with operation Spiderweb where they destroyed over 10 long range Russian bombers. Their response will continue to be different than before, and a significant part of that will be giving Ukraine better defenses, and it's own long range strike capabilitiy (currently with Ukrainian designed and manufactured weapons, funded by European NATO members, along with previous deliveries of US and European made weapons), and it should not come as a surprise if this long range strike capabilitiy includes new US or European made weapons, as though I have significant doubts, it is still very much a real possibility. I have no idea who will win such a battle (Russia is currently winning in the ground), but for the first time since 2022, there is actually an attempt from both sides to change the situation. (The Ukraine summer offensive of 2023 was wishful thinking).

I don't care about being called a doomer, a fed, NATO propagandist, or whatever nickname I'll get next week (this has been happening since Assad fell in Syria), it's happened so many times now that it doesn't matter. Label this account whatever you want. I don't see myself as any of those things anyways and know I am not that, obviously. Usually what I say gets proven correct in some form, and to me that is most important as I try to base what I write here on factual information, and do not care for telling others what or how to think. I have also given public apologies when I have said something that is incorrect.

[–] notcepsov@hexbear.net 10 points 18 hours ago (8 children)

Dawg I didn't even mean you in that specific call out but someone else that wrote something like 'I think Russia is going to throw in the towel in 2026' so I dunno stop being so prickly? Like yeah you are a doomer and I think this shit actually decreases the quality of your posts but again....

the reason I'm being kind of aggressive in my calling out here is that while yes some things suck now some people just read more like some western third world maoists that have had their brains cooked

If me calling out the quality of the posts dropping has you this agitated then maybe stop cooking your brain in this toxic doomsludge the fact that you wrote out 'I don't care about being called a doomer, a fed, NATO propagandist, or whatever nickname I'll get next week, it's happened so many times now that it doesn't matter. I try to base what I write here on factual information, and do not care for telling others what or how to think.' is some real geh facts don't care about your feelings type shit and you should look at your mental well being because your brain sounds pickeled and needs some actual praxis.

[–] xiaohongshu@hexbear.net 25 points 18 hours ago* (last edited 18 hours ago) (2 children)

If you want a left wing Fox News, then maybe this isn’t the place you should be looking for.

We all have different opinions here and the discussions on the news mega have been, for the most part, free from toxicity. It’s a place for discussion and to learn from one another, which means you should expect to read stuff that you don’t like or don’t agree with. At least we do our best not to post chud/reactionary stuff here.

[–] VILenin@hexbear.net 4 points 7 hours ago

Yeah I feel like there are some people that just want to consume meaningless “China collapsing tomorrow, Xi PANICKING” slop but in the opposite direction. It’s more exhausting each time to see mostly vibes-based assertions that US/Israel are headed by stupid people and are teetering on the brink of collapse. The most egregious I’ve seen is the idea that Israel won’t exist by 2030. Or war with China by 2027 (I still haven’t seen an adequate explanation for why the US or China would choose to end human civilization instead of cruising to victory on the status quo). Madman theatrics by politicians are taken way too seriously.

I think since people want some cataclysmic karmic destruction of the US/Israel to happen that confirmation bias is going into overdrive. So people keep getting excited about Putin’s nothingburger speeches, showman statements from the Russian or Chinese MFAs, etc. People thought Iran/Israel was going to start WWIII. Well, war with China isn’t happening, so by definition WWIII isn’t happening either. The cathartic sudden destruction of the US is just something that is not going to happen.

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