this post was submitted on 02 Jun 2025
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Image is sourced from this Economist article.

Most of the information in this preamble is from the Cradle; notably here, here, here, and here.


The features of an effective American war (proxy or otherwise) is that it is a) against opponents with much less military power than you; b) with very low American losses; c) with victories you can visibly show off from time to time to justify involvement, and d) with a profit margin beyond merely giving money to military corporations. The war against Yemen was none of those; airplanes tumbled off aircraft carriers, and the navy complained of the hardest fighting conditions in decades. Conquering Yemen for its resources was inconceivable given the terrain, lack of good intelligence, and the strength of Ansarallah, and all that seemed to be visibly harmed were empty patches of desert and civilians.

Apparently, the ceasefire last month merely stipulated that they stop attacking merchant vessels in the Red Sea; it said nothing about attacking Israel. Therefore, Yemen is absolutely free to create a new blockade of Israel by just striking their airports and seaports, and all Israel can seem to do is try and bomb them in retaliation, a futile strategy which has failed to produce a military or political change in Yemen for the last decade when many other countries have tried it. And if America directly attacks them in response to attacks on Israel, the ceasefire is off, and expensive equipment will continue to be lost.

Across the strait from Yemen is an interesting array of countries. Egypt's position in this war is well-known, and Somalia is under a kind of US occupation under the guise of fighting terrorism (Trump withdrew most troops, but they were then sent back under Biden). The other three are Sudan, Djibouti, and Eritrea. All three are increasingly being drawn into the anti-imperialist camp, as they cooperate with Iran, Russia, and/or China. Sudan is undergoing a civil war, but the rebels fighting the government are famously backed by the UAE. Djibouti has refused to allow themselves to be a launchpad for US strikes on Yemen.

Eritrea has a fascinating history of flip-flopping between West and East over the past few decades, but has, since 2020, sided with the East. It was one of the five countries to oppose the 2022 UN resolution condemning Russia's war with Ukraine. Eritrea sends two thirds of its exports to China, and Iran has reportedly supplied them with military equipment. If a stronger link could be reforged, then Iran would have significantly less trouble sending military technology to Ansarallah, and to other friendly groups throughout the region.

Naturally, the lidless eye of the imperial core is shifting its gaze onto Eritrea. Meanwhile, Ethiopia - a country that has experienced frequent conflict with Eritrea - is part of BRICS+ and their economy is increasingly reliant on China (as is most countries' economies nowadays). If a permanent resolution between the two could be created, it would be a victory for themselves and the Resistance, and a defeat for America, which thrives on conflict and destabilization.


Last week's thread is here. The Imperialism Reading Group is here.

Please check out the RedAtlas!

The bulletins site is here. Currently not used.
The RSS feed is here. Also currently not used.

Israel-Palestine Conflict

If you have evidence of Israeli crimes and atrocities that you wish to preserve, there is a thread here in which to do so.

Sources on the fighting in Palestine against Israel. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:

UNRWA reports on Israel's destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.

English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news.
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.

English-language PalestineResist telegram channel.
More telegram channels here for those interested.

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict

Sources:

Defense Politics Asia's youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.
Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don't want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it's just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
Simplicius, who publishes on Substack. Like others, his political analysis should be soundly ignored, but his knowledge of weaponry and military strategy is generally quite good.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists' side.

Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.

Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:

Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.

https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster's telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a 'propaganda tax', if you don't believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.

Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:

Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.


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[–] SeventyTwoTrillion@hexbear.net 51 points 13 hours ago (3 children)
Israel raises record $5bn in bond sales to US investors as Gaza genocide strains economy

Israel has raised a record $5 billion through Israel Bonds, a US-based broker-dealer, to help finance its ongoing war on Palestinians in Gaza, marking a surge in foreign support for the country’s economy despite mounting concerns over domestic fiscal sustainability.

Since the start of the war, Israel has spent some $67 billion to destroy Gaza and slaughter some 110,000 Palestinians, an estimated 80 percent civilians. US taxpayers provided Israel with nearly $18 billion in military aid during the first year of the war alone, according to the Costs of War Project at Brown University.

Israel’s war-related spending has ballooned, leading to a record government borrowing of nearly $76 billion last year. While most of Israel’s debt is raised in the local bond market, international placements and Israel Bonds play a vital supplementary role. US states such as New York, Texas, Ohio, and Florida, particularly Palm Beach County, its largest single investor at $700 million, are among the most prominent backers.

But even as capital flows in, experts have warned about the war’s long-term economic toll. Karnit Flug, a former Governor of the Bank of Israel and a senior fellow at the Israel Democracy Institute, stated this week that increased war spending threatens to collapse essential public services, including hospitals, schools, and public transportation. Speaking ahead of the Eli Hurvitz Conference on Economy and Society, Flug cautioned that the current path is unsustainable. “Without changes in the government’s course of budget policy and without internalizing the potential snowball effect of sanctions and restrictions, Israel will find itself on a very risky path,” she said.

As taxes rise and public services deteriorate, she warned that the burden is falling disproportionately on high-productivity, tax-paying Israelis—many of whom are the most mobile and capable of leaving the country. Flug urged the government to reassess its budget priorities and reduce dependence on wartime borrowing, citing Israel’s heavy reliance on human capital and infrastructure for future growth.

Netanyahu’s ultra-Orthodox partners move ahead with Knesset dissolution plan

Ultra-Orthodox (Haredim) Israeli parties in Benjamin Netanyahu’s coalition said on 6 June that they are moving forward with an effort to dissolve the Knesset over the government’s failure to pass a law exempting members of the Haredi community from military service.

On Thursday, Israel’s Attorney General Gali Baharav-Miara announced that the army will issue over 50,000 conscription orders to ultra-Orthodox students next month, further fueling outrage across the Haredi community. The attorney general said the matter of drafting ultra-Orthodox into the army “is not progressing sufficiently, as the army urgently needs new recruits, which requires imposing personal sanctions on draft evaders,” according to Israel’s Broadcasting Corporation (KAN).

Ultra-Orthodox Israeli Jews of military age have been able to avoid compulsory enlistment into the army for decades by enrolling in yeshivas (religious schools) and obtaining repeated one-year service deferrals until they reach the age of military exemption. Since the war in Gaza began, a manpower crisis plaguing the army has compelled the government to move forward with drafting the ultra-Orthodox into military service – to the chagrin of the far-right, religious parties in the prime minister’s ruling coalition.

[–] FuckyWucky@hexbear.net 7 points 5 hours ago

international placements and Israel Bonds play a vital supplementary role.

These bonds help prop up the exchange rate of the Shekel, it is not to finance ‘war’ spending. To truly collapse their economy, there has to be embargoes and sanctions from their trading partners.

[–] SeventyTwoTrillion@hexbear.net 35 points 13 hours ago* (last edited 13 hours ago)

Also interesting is this:

Iran orders Chinese materials for 'hundreds of ballistic missiles': Report

Iran has reportedly ordered thousands of tons of ingredients necessary for the development of ballistic missiles from China, sources cited by the Wall Street Journal (WSJ) on 5 June claimed. The sources said Tehran plans to beef up its military arsenal as it engages in nuclear talks with Washington. “Shipments of ammonium perchlorate are expected to reach Iran in the coming months and could fuel hundreds of ballistic missiles … Some of the material would likely be sent to militias in the region aligned with Iran, including Houthis in Yemen,” they added.

Iranian ships docked in China earlier this year were reportedly loaded with over 1,000 tons of sodium perchlorate, needed for the propellant in ballistic missiles. An official cited by WSJ said, “the new, larger contract for ammonium perchlorate could be enough for Iran to produce 800 missiles.”

Last month, the US imposed sanctions on Chinese firms it said were aiding the Iranian ballistic missile program. “Iran remains heavily reliant on China to conduct its malign activities [in the region],” the US State Department said in a statement.

Earlier I asked whether China was more of a help to Israel or Iran, and this is definitely a point in the Iran column. I'd imagined China's help towards the Resistance is more covert, so it's hard to tally up.

The US has been publicly insisting that Iran will not be allowed to enrich uranium in any agreement. Iran has rejected the US demand and says it will continue enrichment with or without a deal.

I haven't been keeping up with the nuclear talks that much; it's an interesting display of confidence and strength compared to the Iran of a decade ago, especially given that Iran's current government is a little more willing to talk with the West than before. Israel and the US are clearly doing a coordinated good-cop-bad-cop routine; "Hey, now, you better accept the deal or my partner... well, he's an angry guy, I can't control him that well, who knows what will happen to you..." and Iran seems fairly confident that they can resist this despite Israel's belligerency.

After Hezbollah did not unleash their enormous missile arsenals, I won't confidently state anymore that if Israel doesn't make peace with Iranian enrichment then Israel is fucked (perhaps the president will be like "Hm, yes, we must try and reach a comprehensive peace deal here..." after thousands of civilians are murdered by Israel, like the Lebanese government did) but if Iran does choose to do True Promise 3 and beyond, then that would be devastating for Israel and the US generally.

[–] SeventyTwoTrillion@hexbear.net 27 points 13 hours ago

Once Hezbollah is back in action and able to apply pressure onto northern Israel again (hopefully sooner rather than later), combined with Ansarallah's constant pressure on Israel, we might really be getting somewhere.