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The US, or any country in fact, is unlikely to give up a chunk of its land because some civilians have machine guns.
I think they'd rather flatten it before considering doing so.
Lets say California through Texas want to have a rebellion. How long do you think it's going to last after the army blockades all the freeways and imposes a curfew.
Believe me I'd sleep a lot easier believing that if the government goes too far we can topple it. But when was the last time you saw something like that happen without the support of the military or the vast vast majority of the population in support.
And the American people will not rally together due to their strong allegiance to their respective political party
That would be a dumb place to start a rebellion. The capital is just below a bunch of liberal states it could be a quick in and out; Minecraft oof the traitors, and leave the presidential succession line to someone capable of not killing us all.