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Unfortunately, the global economic system is tightly integrated. I think this will provide only a minor hedging effect.
As the rest of the world continues to move on without the US, the effect will grow.
The US consumers base is bigger than the next like six or seven countries combined, China included. If a country exports literally anything, you can bet the US is one of their larger trade partners, if not the largest. We just love buying shit here and had the money to do it. So I'm just saying, this shit is gonna hurt everybody. If you build something, odds are someone in America will buy it. The US imported $3.2T worth of goods in 2022, and if that shit dries up, all those places need to find someone else to sell that shit to.
I say this thinking this is all dumb, and if the issue was China, as it's purported to be, and which is something I can totally get on board with, why not just go to trade war with China? China is heavily reliant on American consumerism. The US sent 150b in goods to China, but bought 536b back. With no other of America's trade partners is the gulf so big. Mexico and Canada combined, the next largest two, were less.
I dunno, I'm just an idiot. I think things are much more complicated than folks on here and Reddit make them out to be. And that's excluding the plethora of other obvious negatives from this administration. I think we all need to buckle up, and it doesn't matter where you're from.
Its big becauae people consume. How many people gonna consume when its tonexpensive to live?