this post was submitted on 02 May 2025
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So? AB could vote 100% to leave and it will never happen. Honestly though, fucking leave. AB would be tiny seeing as AB can’t take with them what’s not theirs. Unceded Indigenous land and Indigenous land covered by treaties. Marlaina’s doing a nice job of distracting you from her huge 180k carpet cleaning bill.
The theory is they're drumming up a crisis in order to get Quebec to agree to pipelines. Its not about actually separating.
Fixing that fork in the road created with 1961 National Oil Policy, that then brought up huge amounts of pain in the 70s and 80s, which basically flipped the table leading to nationalization attempts and the inevitable failure of the national energy policy.
This is not entirely unlikely. And I would not prima facie be against this approach.
Except for the fact that the common people don't get nuance like this, and it just makes the division infinitely worse. The rest of Canada is going to consider Alberta to be traitors, and the part of Alberta that are traitors are going to get fired up with false hope, further stoking their hatred when they are inevitably let down.
Maybe this is the only way to get east west pipelines. Maybe there are pieces in place behind the scenes. Unfortunately I think it's unlikely to be this sophisticated, because Smith doesn't come across to me as a sophisticated thinker. I'm inclined to think the simpler explanation is that Smith is self serving and we really have rural Albertans who have grown up knowing nothing but hatred for eastern liberals, and they've been sold a bill of goods that they don't question and wouldn't understand if they did.
Alberta has no alternatives to export so loses a lot by shipping to the US. Alberta has a huge amount to gain by having alternative shipping routes. I think they'd be happy with things and the media would change their opinion pretty quickly.