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Democratic Leaders Get Worst Polling Result in Over Two Decades (www.newsweek.com)

submitted 1 day ago by Sunshine@lemmy.ca to c/usa@midwest.social

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[–] piefood@feddit.online 19 points 1 day ago (1 children)

The poll surveyed 1,006 adults across the U.S. and has a margin of sampling error of plus or minus 4 percentage points, at the 95 percent confidence level.

Not a very good poll, IMO. However:

Of fucking course their polling is low. They've sat with their thumbs up their ass this entire presidency. That's after running a terrible presidential campaign, that came on the coattails of another terrible presidential campaign, that came on the coattails of a terrible presidency.

My surprise level: 0%

[–] Saleh@feddit.org 1 points 14 hours ago

Thats a perfectly reasonable sample size and margin of error. The margin of error for a given confidence level and standard deviation is proportional to 1/sqrt(n) so in order to get the margin of error down from 4% points to 2% they would need to quadruple the number of people polled. However this is worthless if you cannot attribute for systematic errors with a better precision.