this post was submitted on 02 Jun 2024
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[–] retrospectology@lemmy.world 16 points 4 months ago

China may start a war over Taiwan, but that would be the only thing really that would realistically lead in that direction, and the the West would probably do a Ukraine where they just supply aid, not actually get involved in the fighting. If we were ready to fight on behalf of Taiwan we'd be recognizing them as a country and sending high profile diplomatic visits regularly etc.

More or less all of the CCPs geopolitical and economic efforts would be undone by a war, the world already hates the CCP and it's not going to make them more likable if they start a war. Plus there's no real benefit to the west. It's not like anyone is looking to occupy China, the CCP knows this they just use the idea as propaganda for their own people.