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Biden to announce US will build port on Gaza shore for large-scale aid delivery
(www.theguardian.com)
this post was submitted on 07 Mar 2024
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politics
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There were actual elections in several states this year, and Trump underperformed his polls.
Biden is getting 80-90% of the vote in his primaries (MN excepted) which is also what Obama got in 2012.
And I'm not deluding myself, the election could easily go either way.
But Biden does not need to poll 55% to win. He never polled that high in 2020, yet he won.
And what was Trump polling in 2020? He was a 34% approval rating. Not too far from where Biden is polling now. And yes, Biden was at 55% in November of 2020.
Trump was FLOUNDERING in the polls and any one with eyes saw Trump was going to lose that election. Running 'as the president' versus someone who gets to be critical and unaccountable is a very different position than being the incumbent. Probably any President in power would struggle the next election cycle after governing through a pandemic.
and 55% represents where Biden would need to be to be 'secure' in his victory (national polling).
50% is still a Biden victory, but he'll be fighting for some of the swing states, maybe wins, maybe loses.
45% and Biden is fighting for his life.
40%? Biden has lost.
Biden sub 40%. Its not even a question.