Feels like we're in a bit of a Happening period the last few days. Not quite decades in weeks, but months in days maybe.
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Poland Calls To Activate NATO Article 4 https://www.newsweek.com/nato-article-4-poland-russia-drones-airspace-2127438
This is more vibes based politics, but I have been feeling like that there might be a war between russia and the eu soon. European countries will fold instantly due to basically dying economies (I live in one of the most "economical dynamic" regions of europe and basically everyone is losing their job, including family members - even lower and middle management this time) and popular discontent.
Like people in my part of europe are really receptive towards socialist theory (yes actually using the "bad" words even) right now, there is massive opportunity for actual left-wing mass movements.
This is funny to me because the purpose of NATO is to strengthen the American industrial military complex, and the alliance is dangerously close to falling apart because there's little chance that NATO backs up Poland
A thread with images of all the drone and missile debris found in Poland, Xcancel
Looks like Russian Gerbera drones/decoys, and the remains of AIM-120 air to air missiles that were used to shoot some of them down.
Big question is how did Gerbera drones get into Poland, range is too short to be launched from Russia (excluding Kaliningrad). Launched from Belarus possibly? Belarus is saying that these drones went off course due to electronic warfare, and that they also shot some down and informed Poland, in what sounds like a statement to cover themselves. Russia and Belarus are set to host a military exercise starting September 12th. Kaliningrad is also an option, one of these drones was found near Kaliningrad.
Highly unlikely it was intentional, and even more unlikely that they came from Kaliningrad or Belarus. We have no reason to doubt what Belarus is saying. They have stayed out of the conflict so far.
There is also a non-zero possibility the whole thing was a false flag operation. Ukrainians have plenty of mostly intact downed drones by now that they can fix up and repurpose for a provocation. Especially since they just attempted another false flag provocation very recently, they are clearly desperate and willing to go to extremes.
A $10,000 drone taken out by a $384,000 missile.
It's probably all they had on hand at the time for a quick response, F-35s were shooting down the drones, very much overkill. A much cheaper solution likely available to European NATO members for fighter jets would be using old model AIM-9L/M Sidewinder missiles, that's what Ukraine uses on F-16s to shoot down these one way attack drones. An F-16 can fit 6 of these missiles, with 2-3 external fuel tanks for loiter time. Even cheaper would be laser guided rockets, which is what the US uses. A single F-16 or F-15 can be fitted with 42 APKWS laser guided rockets, in addition to more conventional air to air missiles. But European NATO members likely do not have this available currently.
They entered via
What was the point of flying through Polish airspace?
Probing, testing the response of NATO forces to one way attack drones. Firing off a a dozen or two Gerbera drones, which are made of polystyrene/styrofoam and cost very little (essentially militirised model airplanes), from Belarus into Poland to test and observe NATO response is a low risk, low cost maneuver, with plausible deniability. Belarus is already providing said plausible deniability by saying that they shot down some of the drones themselves and informed Poland.
Ukrainians doing shenanigans
Putin got tired of Nothing Happening
To show that NATO is toothless.
Looks like things are kicking off in France
Roads blocked, security forces scrambled
The Director General of the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) Rafael Grossi, provides details on the agreement reached with Iran yesterday.
In short, according to Grossi, a framework deal that, if followed, should open up the way for the inspection of all nuclear facilities in Iran. Iran will also be required to report on all the attacked nuclear facilities, including the nuclear material (enriched uranium) present at these facilities. In obligation with the Comprehensive Safeguards Agreement and the Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons. This is if the agreement is actually implemented.
~~I guess Iran wants more of its scientists murdered at home with their families by zionist airstrikes~~
hopefully this is just stalling on Iran's part
This all depends on if it goes through, Iran is doing this to avoid snapback. I'm not optimistic though, I think the Europeans will still go ahead with snapback unless this agreement is implemented to its most maximalist demands within a very short period of time, and I don't know if Iran can agree to that.
Why don't Iran just surrender their country over to the EU to avoid snapbacks if they are willing to give up their sovereignty to avoid some sanctions
If Iran is actually doing this they are so stupid
https://www.newsweek.com/nato-article-4-poland-russia-drones-airspace-2127438
Poland asks NATO to invoke article 4
Guess they're gonna learn the hard way that NATO is for protecting the imperial core, not the periphery lapdogs.
Poland is the core, americans & eu leaders wont tolerate poland falling away from the empire, otherwise the actual military nodes in western germany might be under threat, and without them you cant really have us power over the middle east anymore (of course greece & italy and the british cyprus bases are quite essential still)
I really do not think Trump is going to support Poland
Everyone else might see the reasons to, he won't
The speed they did this without any length of investigation of a false flag knowing Ukkkraine tried this in the past is sus.
This is literally just that one Monty Python skit:
And you can bet just as little will come of it. They'll just sit around and have their little circlejerk condemning Russia and beating their chests about how united they are and so on.
Trump allegedly demanding that the EU slap up to 100% tariffs on India and China, according to Reuters.
The EU diplomat said the U.S. had indicated it was willing to impose similar tariffs if the European Union heeded the U.S. request.
So is this where Trump demands that the EU do an economic kamikaze attack and has them take blame if they refuse? Saying that they'll do it too, but the EU has to go first, is kinda suspicious.