this post was submitted on 03 Jul 2025
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[–] perestroika@slrpnk.net 25 points 1 day ago (2 children)

As a side note: there is speculation that China may be approaching a change of leader due to Xi experiencing health issues (not a change of leadership in the wider sense - the collegial system of the CCP is considered to be functioning).

Thus, it may be impossible for the Chinese foreign minister to be fully confident of what China's policy will be in the future.

Obviously, China views it as unacceptable for Russia (its ally and soon enough, practically its vassal) to all-out lose. (The easiest way to not lose, of course, is not starting a war, but that train is long gone and behind the hills.)

Prolonging the war does not eliminate this risk well, however - exhaustion could spread in Russian society and morale could collapse despite the state spewing its propaganda, or the economy could collapse. So, simply propping up Russia by letting them buy the goods they shouldn't be getting is not a very elegant solution. Direct interference on behalf of Russia would lead to open hostility with the EU, which is currently ambivalent about China.

What remains is nudging Russia to negotiate. But Putin is hard-headed and only willing to negotiate Ukraine's surrender, on terms which Ukrainians will laugh out of the door.

As for the US being able to focus on China, well I guess they're a bit concerned about it, but given the mental and organizational capability of the current US leadership, I don't think Chinese analysts are particularly worried.

[–] Samskara@sh.itjust.works 5 points 1 day ago

Chinese foreign policy regarding Russia is unlikely to change under a new leader. Supporting Russia‘s war by continued trade while publicly calling for a diplomatic solution is a very comfortable position. They weaken the West while making Russia more dependent on them. All of that while getting financial advantages from importing cheap energy from Russia and exporting goods.

The posturing regarding Taiwan could change in tone, but fundamentally China‘s goals and interests are unchanged.

Things are going pretty well for China on many levels.

[–] Gsus4@mander.xyz 1 points 21 hours ago

I only see news relating to General Zhang Youxia and replacing Xi Jinping with Wang-Yi in Indian news sites, is this related to their recent renewed support for the Dalai Lama out of the blue?

[–] DrFistington@lemmy.world 17 points 1 day ago

Ahh, so Trump gets his orders from the Chinoruskie empire...

[–] ms_lane@lemmy.world 6 points 1 day ago (43 children)

China has chosen to be the enemy the west and rules based order then.

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[–] Allemaniac@lemmy.world 3 points 1 day ago (1 children)

any sociological doctorates in here? What does it say about the state of the ruZZian war, when chinas FM weighs in on their vision for the war?

[–] Samskara@sh.itjust.works 2 points 1 day ago

Russia is hugely dependent on trade with China to continue the war effort. They have replaced western imports with Chinese goods, including parts for weapons. North Korea would not sell arms and send troops to Russia without Chinese approval either. China buys Russian oil and gas as well.

The Russian war effort is going well and looks like it will be sustainable for years while Chinese support continues.

[–] redsand@lemmy.dbzer0.com 8 points 1 day ago (1 children)

For now. Ideally they lose in a few years once China has a better position

[–] Gsus4@mander.xyz 13 points 1 day ago* (last edited 1 day ago) (1 children)

You can count on tramp and his fascist toadies to lose their proxy war with China without a fight by refusing to acknowledge it until no asian ally is willing to resist or share intel out of fear of getting betrayed, like the EU and Ukraine.

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