this post was submitted on 23 Jun 2025
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Image is of the damage caused by an Iranian Kheibar Shekan ballistic missile in Israel, causing dozens of injuries.


Now in our second week of the conflict, we have seen continuing damage to both Israel and Iran, as well as direct US intervention which nonetheless seems to have caused limited damage to Fordow and little damage to Iran's nuclear program. Regime change seems more elusive than ever, as even Iranians previously critical of the government now rally around it as they are attacked by two rabid imperialists at once. And Iran's government is tentatively considering a withdrawal, or at minimum a reconsideration, of their membership to the IAEA and the NPT. And, of course, the Strait of Hormuz is still a tool in their arsenal.

A day or so on from the strike on Fordow, we have so far seen basically no change in strategy from the Iranian military as they continue to strike Israel with small barrages of missiles. Military analysts argue furiously - is this a deliberate strategy of steady attrition on Israel, or indicative of immense material constraints on Iran? Are the hits by Israel on real targets, or are they decoys? Does Iran wish to develop a nuke, or are they still hesitating? Will Iran and Yemen strike at US warships and bases in response to the attack, or will they merely continue striking only Israel?

And perhaps most importantly - will this conflict end diplomatically due to a lack of appetite for an extended war (to wit: not a peace but a 20 year armistice) or with Israel forced into major concessions including an end to their genocide? Or even with a total military/societal collapse of either side?


Last week's thread is here. The Imperialism Reading Group is here.

Please check out the RedAtlas!

The bulletins site is here. Currently not used.
The RSS feed is here. Also currently not used.

Israel-Palestine Conflict

If you have evidence of Israeli crimes and atrocities that you wish to preserve, there is a thread here in which to do so.

Sources on the fighting in Palestine against Israel. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:

UNRWA reports on Israel's destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.

English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news.
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.

English-language PalestineResist telegram channel.
More telegram channels here for those interested.

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict

Sources:

Defense Politics Asia's youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.
Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don't want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it's just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
Simplicius, who publishes on Substack. Like others, his political analysis should be soundly ignored, but his knowledge of weaponry and military strategy is generally quite good.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists' side.

Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.

Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:

Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.

https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster's telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a 'propaganda tax', if you don't believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.

Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:

Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.


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[–] Frogmanfromlake@hexbear.net 45 points 2 months ago

https://apnews.com/article/guatemala-arevalo-noem-us-asylum-b1e8336eef14116d2cd2f77f4ee3047e

Our President has denied accepting a deal with the Trump administration that would allow them to dump migrants here. We did accept allowing US border patrol to train our border patrol with how to “screen for suspected terrorists.” This just means brutalizing more teenagers at the border.

[–] sisatici@hexbear.net 45 points 2 months ago

Ukraine loses another f16. Ukraine has managed to destroy even more f16 than Russia. I guess that is what happens when you operate Soviet Air defence. One second you don't hold the leash and wedding bomber is gone. Pilot could not manage to eject in time

[–] aanes_appreciator@hexbear.net 45 points 2 months ago (4 children)

CW Violence against children:

Man throws child into ground at Moscow airporthttps://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/international/global-trends/watch-toddler-in-coma-after-being-slammed-on-floor-by-tourist-at-moscow-airport-child-had-fled-iran-with-pregnant-mother/articleshow/122069832.cms

I wanted to post as ive seen this show up on "pro iran" telegrams (the child is an iranian refugee fleeing the current war) and claiming the attacker was a zionist or otherwise Jewish. There's no claims of his motives beyond intoxication.

Just thought its a good idea in case we see it posted at some point with the speculative claims.

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[–] Frogmanfromlake@hexbear.net 45 points 2 months ago (1 children)

Looking forward to next week when Israel bombs Iran again and Iran is completely blindsided by it.

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[–] Boise_Idaho@hexbear.net 45 points 2 months ago (1 children)

Regardless of whether the ceasefire holds or not (it will be violated by the Zionist entity either way), the IRGC could always use the humiliating terms and implications of the ceasefire to stage a coup or declare martial law against the reformist government, correctly blaming the general predicament that the IRI is currently facing squarely on the reformist's shoulders. Iran needs nukes and good AA, but they have to take care of the rot inside first. It makes no sense to remodel a house without first handling the termite problem.

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[–] Redcuban1959@hexbear.net 45 points 2 months ago* (last edited 2 months ago)

Venezuela, Uruguay agree to renew consular services - Latin American Reports

Article

Uruguay and Venezuela’s foreign ministries announced last week the renewal of consular services in both capitals, following almost a year of severed diplomatic relations after Venezuela’s controversial presidential election in July 2024.

A joint statement on June 12 said that “as a result of joint work between both parties, it has been decided to reactivate consular services of Uruguay in Caracas and Venezuela in Montevideo in the coming days, to attend the respective communities.”

Following the election in 2024, Caracas expelled Uruguayan diplomats along with those of six other Latin American countries, for failing to recognize President Nicolás Maduro’s re-election as announced by the National Electoral Council (CNE). At the time, President Luis Lacalle Pou rejected Maduro’s proclamation of victory and supported the Venezuelan opposition’s claims of fraud.

The decision to renew consular services coincides with a shift in Uruguay’s posture toward Venezuela with the arrival of left-wing President Yamandú Orsi.

At a press conference last week, Uruguay’s foreign minister, Mario Lubetkin, declared that not having “a minimum of consular relations with Venezuela is complicating everything” with the country. Hence, they were “trying to speed up the process, not for the re-establishment of diplomatic relations with Venezuela, which is not currently being considered, but for some kind of consular mechanism,” the foreign minister added.

Lubetkin cited the case of Fabián Buglione, a Uruguayan who was detained when he entered Venezuela in October 2024, as one of the reasons to seek this shift in policy. He stressed: “it is the prisoner, the citizen who dies and there will be many other cases, because there are thousands of Uruguayans in Venezuela and we have thousands and thousands of Venezuelans here.”

Despite the opening of diplomatic relations between Montevideo and Caracas, the new Uruguayan administration does not recognize the result of the 2024 Venezuelan election and Orsi has previously described Maduro’s government as “an authoritarian regime.”

Good on President Orsi for re-establishing relations with Venezuela, the article does not mention it, but Uruguay no longer recognizes Edmundo Gonzalez as President of Venezuela (Juan Guaido 2). I guess Uruguay only recognizes the Status Quo (meaning they de facto recognize Maduro as President but not de jure, so as not to anger USA and EU. Mexico, Colombia and Brazil also did the same thing).

[–] iie@hexbear.net 45 points 2 months ago* (last edited 2 months ago) (7 children)

So is this more of an oil thing or more of a belt and road initiative thing? (Referring to the war on Iran)

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[–] ziggurter@hexbear.net 44 points 2 months ago* (last edited 2 months ago) (2 children)

I missed the boat, but I can't help but still respond to this comment by @s0ykaf@hexbear.net from the previous news mega:

he's an english literature graduate who decided to create a "new kind of history", based on asimov's psychohistory, after teaching a shallow as fuck course of "the entirety of human history" (lmao.) to some school age teenagers

People who understand neither history, nor psychology, nor mathematics, nor Asimov. SMDH.

(This actually semi includes Azimov himself, recursively, but that's okay because he was writing sci-fi and knew he was writing sci-fi.)

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[–] OnceUponATimeInWeHo@hexbear.net 44 points 2 months ago

May every liberal on earth meet their earned fate

[–] PorkrollPosadist@hexbear.net 44 points 2 months ago* (last edited 2 months ago) (2 children)

In other news, I was checking netblocks to see if there were any changes with the Iranian Internet situation and it appears that there is an outage in Panama attributed to a crackdown on banana workers union. Democracy Now has a SHORT article about it: Panama Declares State of Emergency Over Worker Rebellion.

The government of Panama has declared a state of emergency, suspending constitutional protections in the Bocas del Toro province after two months of worker-led protests and road blockades in opposition to a contested social security reform. The province is a major banana-producing region where workers have spoken out against exploitative conditions by banana giant Chiquita. The corporation, formerly known as United Fruit Company, fired thousands of striking workers last month.

Curiously, I was at the grocery story yesterday and the bananas were all fucking green. Not ripe at all. I guess this is related. 🤔

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[–] cinnaa42@hexbear.net 44 points 2 months ago (1 children)

Weird shit going on in Iraq rn. Reports of drone attacks on a couple of airbases but not clear who's targeting and who's being targeted.

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[–] cinnaa42@hexbear.net 44 points 2 months ago

this might age poorly but kinda feels like what's happening?

[–] la_tasalana_intissari_mata@hexbear.net 44 points 2 months ago (9 children)
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[–] Redcuban1959@hexbear.net 44 points 2 months ago

US airbase at Al-Udeid in Qatar is hit by Iranian missiles. US military bases in Iraq, Bahrain and Kuwait go on high alert. US leader Trump is taken to the Situation Room in Washington. Iraq, Kuwait and the United Arab Emirates close their airspace

Government of Qatar: "The attack on the Al Udeid airbase is a flagrant violation of Qatar's sovereignty and its airspace. Qatar reserves the right to respond directly, in a manner proportionate to the nature and gravity of the attack, and in accordance with international law."

Government of Iran: "Our operations are free of any threat to brother Qatar and his people. The attack is a response in accordance with international law and the right to self-defense. Our message to the White House and its allies is clear: Iran will not let any attack go unanswered."

Iran's Defense Minister: “We are determined to punish the aggressor, we reject peace imposed by force and we consider Washington a source of crisis and instability in the region.”

  • Telegram
[–] ColombianLenin@hexbear.net 44 points 2 months ago

As long as we get to see LGBT hold, I don't really gaf about the game of hand slapping between the US and Iran.

[–] S4ck@hexbear.net 44 points 2 months ago (4 children)

Lol nobody knows anything.

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[–] la_tasalana_intissari_mata@hexbear.net 44 points 2 months ago (2 children)

Liberals and reformists trying to make agreements or peace with the U.S.A. is like an actor trying to tell a director to change his scene.

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[–] Redcuban1959@hexbear.net 44 points 2 months ago (1 children)

Russia Expects Israeli Threats Against Ayatollah Khamenei to Be Empty Words - Telesur English

Article

Russia doesn’t seek to act as a mediator in the Israel-Iran conflict but is making proposals to help resolve the situation, Putin said. On Friday, Russian President Vladimir Putin expressed confidence that Israel’s threats to assassinate Iran’s Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei were merely rhetorical.

“I would like to believe that the things you mentioned remain on the level of rhetoric,” the Russian leader told the moderator of the plenary session at the St. Petersburg Economic Forum.

Two days earlier, during a briefing with representatives of major news agencies, Putin said he did not even want to discuss the possibility. “I’ve heard all this, but I don’t want to talk about it,” he said emphatically.

On Thursday, however, Israeli Defense Minister Israel Katz once again used hateful and threatening language, explicitly stating that Ayatollah Khamenei “can no longer be allowed to exist.”

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has also escalated his rhetoric against Iranian authorities, while the Israeli military has intensified its airstrikes against Iran, where hundreds have been killed, including high-ranking military officials and nuclear scientists. In an interview with U.S. network ABC, the Israeli leader claimed that Khamenei’s death would end the conflict rather than escalate it.

On Friday, Putin also stated that Russia does not seek to act as a mediator in the Israel-Iran conflict but is making proposals to help resolve the current situation.

“I want to emphasize that we are not seeking any mediation role—we are simply proposing ideas. And if they are appealing to both sides, we will be glad… Our proposals are currently under consideration. We maintain almost daily contact with our Iranian friends. So we’ll see,” he said.

In his latest phone call with Putin, U.S. President Donald Trump rejected Russian mediation in the ongoing conflict between Israel and Iran. Meanwhile, on Thursday, Russia’s Foreign Ministry condemned as “cynical” the attempts to justify Israel’s attacks on Iran, which began a week ago.

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[–] Frogmanfromlake@hexbear.net 44 points 2 months ago (8 children)

Anyone on here well versed enough to explain the reasons for New York’s demographic decline? All you get when talking to liberals is that it’s because of the progressive income tax and the weather.

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[–] Redcuban1959@hexbear.net 44 points 2 months ago (1 children)

Belarus and Cuba Strengthen Their Alliance in Response to Western Sanctions - Telesur English

Article

President Lukashenko noted that Belarus and Cuba provide each other with unconditional mutual support. On Wednesday, Belarusian President Alexander Lukashenko met with Cuban President Miguel Diaz-Canel, reaffirming his country’s interest in finding alternatives to challenges posed by Western sanctions against their nations.

“The pressure of illegal sanctions against our states not only persists but intensifies. This is especially true in financial settlement mechanisms. Yet these negative external factors only motivate us to jointly seek effective solutions,” Lukashenko said in Minsk during the Cuban leader’s official visit.

He emphasized that the international landscape is experiencing significant turbulence, marked by the obsolescence of traditional structures and the emergence of new actors that still lack sufficient resources to address contemporary crises. “While old international structures stagnate, new ones still lack the resources to resolve crises—let alone prevent them. We must work together on this,” he said.

Lukashenko highlighted the constructive nature of Belarus-Cuba cooperation on the global stage, noting that both nations share similar approaches on key international issues, and provide unconditional each other with mutual support.

“Just hours after his arrival in Belarus, Cuban President Miguel Diaz-Canel was received by President Alexander Lukashenko in an official ceremony held at the Palace of Independence.”

During talks, Lukashenko and Diaz-Canel acknowledged that the work of the Belarusian-Cuban commission on trade and economic cooperation has reached a steady annual pace, demonstrating mutual interest in strengthening ties.

Among promising areas for expanding trade and economic cooperation, Lukashenko mentioned sectors of strategic importance to Havana, including food security, industrial modernization, construction development, transportation infrastructure, energy, mining, and access to quality medicines.

“Given the complementary nature of the Belarusian and Cuban economies, our experts have identified several promising growth points in trade and economics,” the Belarusian leader said, adding that his country is prepared to ensure the supply of new equipment, including through leasing arrangements, and to export engines, spare parts, machinery, and repair equipment to benefit Cuban enterprises.

Belarus could also supply raw materials and share expertise and technology for joint dairy and meat production, leveraging its experience in these sectors. In closing, Lukashenko stressed Belarus’ readiness to take joint steps to help ensure economic and social stability and the well-being of both nations.

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[–] Evilphd666@hexbear.net 44 points 2 months ago (3 children)
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[–] Frogmanfromlake@hexbear.net 44 points 2 months ago (1 children)

Like how NATO rolled out a Ukranian citizen for sympathy points as they beg Trump for more weapons.

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[–] Redcuban1959@hexbear.net 44 points 2 months ago (2 children)

Supreme Court curbs injunctions that blocked Trump's birthright citizenship plan - NBC News

The Trump administration wants to end automatic birthright citizenship as enshrined in the Constitution’s 14th Amendment.

WASHINGTON — The Supreme Court on Friday handed a major win to the Trump administration by allowing it to take steps to implement its proposal to end automatic birthright citizenship.

In a 6-3 vote, the court granted a request by the Trump administration to narrow the scope of nationwide injunctions imposed by judges so that they apply only to states, groups and individuals that sued. That means the birthright citizenship proposal can likely move forward at least in part in the states that challenged it as well as those that did not. The court was divided on ideological lines, with conservatives in the majority and liberals in dissent.

"When a court concludes that the executive branch has acted unlawfully, the answer is not for the court to exceed its power, too," Justice Amy Coney Barrett wrote for the majority. But she indicated that the nationwide injunctions are limited "only to the extent that the injunctions are broader than necessary." Lower courts, she added "shall move expeditiously" to figure out how broad the injunctions can be.

The court also said that the administration can continue working administratively on how the policy would be implemented. Liberal Justice Sonia Sotomayor read a summary of her dissent from the bench in the courtroom, saying the ruling was a "travesty for the rule of the law" and an "open invitation to bypass the constitution."

Federal courts "will be hamstrung" when it comes to nationwide injunctions but she urged potential plaintiffs to immediately file class action lawsuits, a legal avenue the court left open. In a separate dissenting opinion, Justice Ketanji Brown Jackson wrote that the decision was “an existential threat to the rule of law.”

The policy remains blocked for now in one additional state, New Hampshire, as a result of a separate lawsuit that is not before the Supreme Court. As a result of the ruling, the proposal can potentially move forward nationwide, although individual plaintiffs could still file their own lawsuits in those states and the current challengers can still move to reinstate injunctions that are less broad in scope. Trump's original executive order said the plan would go into effect after 30 days, but it was almost immediately blocked.

The decision does not address the legal merits of the plan, but only whether judges had the authority to put it on hold across the entire country. President Donald Trump and his MAGA allies have been harshly critical of judges who have blocked aspects of his agenda, although it is not a new phenomenon for courts to impose nationwide injunctions.

It has long been widely accepted, including by legal scholars on left and right, that the Constitution’s 14th Amendment confers automatic citizenship to almost anyone born in the United States.

“All persons born or naturalized in the United States, and subject to the jurisdiction thereof, are citizens of the United States,” the amendment says. Based on historical practice, the only exception is people who are the children of diplomats. Trump wants to adopt a completely new meaning of the language that would confer citizenship only on those who have at least one parent who is a U.S. citizen or permanent resident.

Trump’s executive order, issued on his first day in office in January, was immediately challenged, and every court that has ruled on the proposal so far has blocked it. At issue at the Supreme Court were cases filed in Maryland, Massachusetts and Washington state. In court papers, former acting Solicitor General Sarah Harris said judges did not have the authority to issue nationwide injunctions and that the states that sued did not have legal standing.

The Trump plan has the backing of 21 other states. The administration has complained bitterly as judges have issued nationwide injunctions in response to Trump’s bold and aggressive use of executive power to implement his contentious agenda, which has included ramping up deportations, downsizing federal agencies, targeting law firms and universities, and firing thousands of federal employees.

Justice Department officials say there have been dozens such rulings and have described them as being an unconstitutional attack on the president’s authority. Previous administrations, both Republican and Democratic, have also had their agenda’s threatened by nationwide injunctions, although they have become more commonplace in recent years.

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[–] Evilphd666@hexbear.net 44 points 2 months ago
[–] Lisitsyn@hexbear.net 43 points 2 months ago (8 children)

Prisons Business Center in Estonia wants to open an e-shop to sell items made by inmates

The Prisons Business Center is preparing to launch an online store to market handicrafts and custom-made products created by inmates. To streamline the process, they are asking the Ministry of Justice to allow them to enter into smaller contracts without the need for public procurement procedures.

The Prisons Business Center is seeking to open an online store to market handicrafts and custom-made products. In a letter sent to the Ministry of Justice and Digital Affairs, Tallinn Prison noted that there are already examples of good practice — under the Stoveman brand, quality metal products made by inmates are currently being sold.

Aaro Nursi, a member of the Tallinn Prison Commission, informed the ministry that prisons — particularly the Prisons Business Center — need more flexible conditions for finding partners. This would help increase inmate employment and better utilize prison production capacity.

"Current public procurement procedures limit Tallinn Prison's ability to respond quickly to smaller orders and to collaborate with local businesses and municipalities," Nursi said.

He pointed out that, for example, laundry and sewing services could be used more frequently by state institutions, but there are no clear guidelines for allowing internal transactions. Smaller or seasonal orders are often missed because potential partners lack the resources to participate in procurement procedures.

Additionally, prisons cover all production costs themselves — from materials to equipment — and therefore need steady and flexible orders to operate production in a sustainable and cost-effective way.

As a result, the Tallinn Prison Commission proposed that small-scale direct contracts be allowed without the standard public procurement process. They also suggested clarifying the rules for internal transactions between state agencies in order to encourage the purchase of services from prisons.

The prison commission also called on the Ministry of Justice to support the marketing and e-commerce development of prisons, including online sales, and to involve inmates in pilot projects aimed at testing more flexible cooperation models.

"We believe this would increase inmate engagement, support reintegration into society and make prisons more visible and trustworthy partners," Nursi said, asking the ministry to initiate discussions on changing public procurement regulations.

The Ministry of Justice, however, was in no hurry to commit. Deputy Secretary General Rait Kuuse responded to Nursi that the proposal would be taken into account in planning the future activities and direction of the Prisons Business Center, but the ministry currently has no plans to amend procurement regulations.

"The purpose of creating the business center was to boost inmate employment and production capacity — goals that align with the strategic aims of the prison service. Today, we can say the business center has been successful in increasing employment and has launched several new cooperation projects with various partners," Kuuse noted.

The Prisons Business Center was established last year, replacing the former state-owned company AS Eesti Vanglatööstus, and operates across all three of Estonia's prisons.

At Tallinn Prison, inmates produce textiles, metal and wood products; the facility also operates an industrial-scale laundry and handles product assembly and packaging. Examples of inmate-made goods include fireplaces, outdoor grills, fireplace accessories, sauna stoves, metal structures and a variety of custom wood products.

Viru Prison's laundry offers a full range of laundry services. It also produces sauna stoves sold under the Stoveman brand and performs various woodworking tasks.

Tartu Prison provides shot blasting and powder coating services.

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