this post was submitted on 23 Jun 2025
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Image is of the damage caused by an Iranian Kheibar Shekan ballistic missile in Israel, causing dozens of injuries.


Now in our second week of the conflict, we have seen continuing damage to both Israel and Iran, as well as direct US intervention which nonetheless seems to have caused limited damage to Fordow and little damage to Iran's nuclear program. Regime change seems more elusive than ever, as even Iranians previously critical of the government now rally around it as they are attacked by two rabid imperialists at once. And Iran's government is tentatively considering a withdrawal, or at minimum a reconsideration, of their membership to the IAEA and the NPT. And, of course, the Strait of Hormuz is still a tool in their arsenal.

A day or so on from the strike on Fordow, we have so far seen basically no change in strategy from the Iranian military as they continue to strike Israel with small barrages of missiles. Military analysts argue furiously - is this a deliberate strategy of steady attrition on Israel, or indicative of immense material constraints on Iran? Are the hits by Israel on real targets, or are they decoys? Does Iran wish to develop a nuke, or are they still hesitating? Will Iran and Yemen strike at US warships and bases in response to the attack, or will they merely continue striking only Israel?

And perhaps most importantly - will this conflict end diplomatically due to a lack of appetite for an extended war (to wit: not a peace but a 20 year armistice) or with Israel forced into major concessions including an end to their genocide? Or even with a total military/societal collapse of either side?


Last week's thread is here. The Imperialism Reading Group is here.

Please check out the RedAtlas!

The bulletins site is here. Currently not used.
The RSS feed is here. Also currently not used.

Israel-Palestine Conflict

If you have evidence of Israeli crimes and atrocities that you wish to preserve, there is a thread here in which to do so.

Sources on the fighting in Palestine against Israel. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:

UNRWA reports on Israel's destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.

English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news.
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.

English-language PalestineResist telegram channel.
More telegram channels here for those interested.

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict

Sources:

Defense Politics Asia's youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.
Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don't want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it's just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
Simplicius, who publishes on Substack. Like others, his political analysis should be soundly ignored, but his knowledge of weaponry and military strategy is generally quite good.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists' side.

Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.

Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:

Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.

https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster's telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a 'propaganda tax', if you don't believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.

Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:

Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.


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[–] Redcuban1959@hexbear.net 48 points 2 months ago

European Workers Warn Against Cutting Social Spending for Defense Increases - Telesur English

Article

Governments must ensure that the wealthiest pay their fair share of taxes, the ETUC pointed out. On Wednesday, the European Trade Union Confederation (ETUC) warned that social budgets should not be affected by European leaders’ plans to increase defense spending, which are under discussion at the NATO summit.

The ETUC said social spending must be protected, while also voicing support for “coordinated and enhanced security policies that ensure Europe contributes to securing peace, the rule of law, human rights, and social progress at the international level.”

“EU funds originally intended for cohesion and recovery programs have already been redirected toward the defense sector,” the European unions said.

The announcement came during this week’s NATO summit in The Hague, Netherlands, where European leaders are discussing ways to raise defense and security spending to 5% of member states’ GDP. Most currently allocate between 1% and 2%.

Governments “must avoid increasing the financial burden on workers” and “ensure that the wealthiest pay their fair share of taxes,” the European unions pointed out.

ETUC Secretary General Esther Lynch said the lack of investment in public services will leave Europe unprepared for the challenges it faces.

“The EU must stop draining already insufficient social funds, and governments must not make workers, retirees, or people with disabilities pay the price for unrealistic targets they have set,” she said, calling for safeguards to ensure that the rise in public defense spending does not “simply enrich shareholders and CEOs of weapons manufacturers.”

“Funding must be tied to social conditions that guarantee workers in the sector are covered by collective agreements ensuring fair wages, working conditions, and training,” Lynch concluded.

[–] Lovely_sombrero@hexbear.net 48 points 2 months ago (4 children)

Dem Fascist (Senator Kirsten Gillibrand) meltdown over Zohran;

https://x.com/barbarismcrit/status/1938309709842550831

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[–] SoyViking@hexbear.net 47 points 2 months ago

Imperialist Vanguard: Denmark Supports NATO Militarization, Backs American Aggression Against Iran

At today’s NATO summit in The Hague, Denmark emerged as one of the most fanatic supporters of the American demands for aggressive military expansion. The nordic hermit kingom's authoritarian leader Mette Frederiksen and Lars Løkke Rasmussen, the powerful and corruption-tainted head of the nation's Moderate Party-controlled Ministry of Foreign Affairs, voiced full-throated support as American vassal states aquiesced to Washington’s radical demands to channel 5% of their national GDP into military spending.

Read more...

Meanwhile, protests and a general strike in Brussels condemned the reallocation of public wealth toward militarization, with slogans calling for pensions, not missiles. Their pleas were ignored by the assembled elites.

The new target, which surpasses even the already excessive American military budget in proportional terms, will direct 3.5% toward direct militarization, while 1.5% will go to dual-use infrastructure, ostensibly civilian, but serving military aims. The shift commits states in the American bloc to a path of aggressive rearmament, threatening global stability.

Frederiksen welcomed the balooning military expenditure, declaring that NATO should “never again” spend less on warfare. Framing war preparations as responsible and necessary, her remarks affirmed Denmark’s place at the vanguard of the alliance’s hardline faction.

Frederiksen also applauded the recent U.S. terror bombings of Iranian civilian nuclear sites, dismissing concerns about international law and offering full support for escalation against Iran, reiterating unfounded American-zionist claims about Iran pursuing a nuclear deterrence. NATO leader Mark Rutte praised the attacks as demonstrations of American strength. No NATO leader questioned their legality.

Despite recent threats from the American regime to forcibly annex Greenland, Denmark’s Arctic colony, the topic was conspicuously absent from bilateral discussions, raising questions about Copenhagen’s willingness to defend its territorial sovereignty under pressure from its patron state.

Instead, Denmark announced a new military pact with Canada, Norway, and Germany aimed at expanding NATO’s naval presence in the North Atlantic and Arctic regions, underscoring the regime’s commitment to power projection.

On the alliance’s eastern front, the language of deterrence gave way to open escalation. NATO reaffirmed its commitment to its proxy war in Ukraine, with Rutte bombastically declaring the Kiev regime to be on an “irreversible path” to membership despite them losing the war. Frederiksen, meanwhile, framed Denmark’s continued arming of the Kiev regime not as aid but as “investment in our own security,” signaling a shift from solidarity rhetoric to overt realpolitik.

Trump’s influence dominated the summit. Once seen as a threat to the alliance, the American supreme leader was now praised as a “man of peace and strength” by a servile Rutte. Danish Foreign Minister Løkke insisted NATO’s Article 5 remains sacred, in a gesture of fealty aimed at countering Trump’s past equivocations.

Amid carefully choreographed ceremonial photo ops the summit marked a historic commitment to permanent militarization, sacrificing social needs and ignoring the plight of the captive civilian population in service of Washington’s strategic ambitions.

Source:

[–] CyborgMarx@hexbear.net 47 points 2 months ago (6 children)

There is no ceasefire, this is just an attempt to manufacture a casis belli for when the next round of Iranian missiles are fired "Look the mullahs violated the ceasefire (that they never agreed to) poor little Israel

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[–] thethirdgracchi@hexbear.net 47 points 2 months ago* (last edited 2 months ago) (2 children)

I see Trump's trying out the lathe, huh. Just announcing things, attempting to speak them into existence. If Iran accepts a ceasefire now I'll be rather confused; not sure what they think they'll gain from it.

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[–] la_tasalana_intissari_mata@hexbear.net 47 points 2 months ago (1 children)
[–] FuckyWucky@hexbear.net 47 points 2 months ago

Hah I wouldn't trust Al Jazeera's reporting on this

[–] LargePenis@hexbear.net 47 points 2 months ago

Everything on Resistance media is indicating one thing: Iran will strike Al Udaid Base in Qatar possibly tonight. Every piece is moving in that direction.

[–] Salem@hexbear.net 46 points 2 months ago (6 children)

A few days ago I asked about that zwei_squirell post and other heterodox questions that were amounted to dooming in this site.

I appreciated the feedback, analysis, and insight.

However, I certainly don't want to read a "trust the plan" comment. It comes off as a very adolescent, juvenile, and dismissive response; it comes off as hopecasting and political lethargy.

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[–] faiz_ahmad_faiz@hexbear.net 46 points 2 months ago (2 children)

Iran: Al-Mayadeen correspondent: There is no confirmation from Iranian official sources regarding Trump’s words about a ceasefire

https://xcancel.com/AlMayadeenLive/status/1937280938829865376#m

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[–] GnastyGnuts@hexbear.net 46 points 2 months ago (2 children)

Man, you really do gotta ruthlessly purge all the compradors and dumbass moderates from positions of power, huh? stalin-pipe

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[–] glimmer_twin@hexbear.net 46 points 2 months ago* (last edited 2 months ago)

Did the Israelis start letting settlers leave the country again yet, lol?

[–] Lovely_sombrero@hexbear.net 46 points 2 months ago* (last edited 2 months ago) (1 children)

A big reason why the Dems are focusing more on the NY mayoral race than on Trump's Big B Bill - both versions of the BBB (House & Senate) include a big SALT deduction increase, something that Dems always want, since it benefits mostly rich Dem donors in blue states.

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[–] Lemmygradwontallowme@hexbear.net 46 points 2 months ago* (last edited 2 months ago) (2 children)

Slow news aside, you know how J.D Vance made a tweet now

Apparently that tweet was about U.S being involved with:

DR Congo, Rwanda sign peace deal in ‘turning point’ after years of conflict - Al Jazeera

Analysts see the deal as a major turning point but do not believe it will quickly end the fighting that has killed millions of people since the 1990s.

As much as there might be a caveat, I'm pretty sure ipso facto this is some nice thing on its own

Hexbear post

[–] mkultrawide@hexbear.net 46 points 2 months ago

The DRC-Rwanda deal will also help the US government and American companies gain access to critical minerals like tantalum, gold, cobalt, copper and lithium needed for much of the world’s technology at a time when the US and China are actively competing for influence in Africa.

Ahead of the signing on Friday, US President Donald Trump said, “We’re getting, for the United States, a lot of the mineral rights from the Congo as part of it. They’re so honoured to be here. They never thought they’d be coming.”

mission-accomplished-1 mission-accomplished-2

mission-accomplished

Now US tech companies can buy the rare earth minerals they were already buying illegally from Rwanda without the extra legal risk.

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[–] Salem@hexbear.net 46 points 2 months ago (2 children)

Kind of a tangent but I looked up history of the dunk tank and then it took me to the Jim Crow museum.

What a sick, evil, depraved society.

I'd like to think things are a bit better, maybe if only a little, but that kind of brazen evil is really horrifying.

Then a synapse fired and that is the reality the oppressed have always found themselves in. Especially right now in Palestine.

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[–] Redcuban1959@hexbear.net 46 points 2 months ago (1 children)

Brazil is negotiating with Russia over floating nuclear power plants for the Amazon The government is evaluating a proposal from Russian state-owned Rosatom to install small reactors in the northern region and strengthen its alliance with Moscow. According to Rosatom's director for Latin America, Ivan Dibov, the state-owned company intends to expand its partnership with Brazil, which began in March with the joint exploration of uranium at the Caetité mine in Bahia. “We are very interested in expanding our cooperation,” said the executive.

Rosatom is one of the world's leading companies in the nuclear sector, with around US$ 100 billion in external revenues by 2024 - 20% coming from countries considered to be Russia's adversaries in the context of the Ukraine war, such as the United States. The state-owned company is a pioneer in the production of small modular reactors, known as SMRs (Small Modular Reactors), which have a capacity of between 10% and 50% of traditional plants, but with the advantage of taking up less space.

In May, during a visit to Russia, President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (Workers' Party) had already signaled Brazil's interest in expanding the partnership in the energy sector. "We are interested in discussing the energy sector in particular. We are very interested in establishing a relationship with Russia on small nuclear power plants," said Lula at the opening of a bilateral meeting with Russian President Vladimir Putin in Moscow.

According to the Russian company, the Amazon region could be home to up to 12 reactors by 2035, with a generating capacity of 0.6 GW. Another ten floating reactors would be installed off the coast of the Northeast, increasing the supply by 0.5 GW. Together, these projects would represent around half of the current installed capacity of the Brazilian nuclear matrix.

The nuclear sector has experienced a renaissance since the Fukushima disaster in 2011. Last week, the World Bank lifted its veto on funding for nuclear projects, including modular reactors, like the ones Brazil is now considering taking to the Amazon.

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