this post was submitted on 23 Jun 2025
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Image is of the damage caused by an Iranian Kheibar Shekan ballistic missile in Israel, causing dozens of injuries.


Now in our second week of the conflict, we have seen continuing damage to both Israel and Iran, as well as direct US intervention which nonetheless seems to have caused limited damage to Fordow and little damage to Iran's nuclear program. Regime change seems more elusive than ever, as even Iranians previously critical of the government now rally around it as they are attacked by two rabid imperialists at once. And Iran's government is tentatively considering a withdrawal, or at minimum a reconsideration, of their membership to the IAEA and the NPT. And, of course, the Strait of Hormuz is still a tool in their arsenal.

A day or so on from the strike on Fordow, we have so far seen basically no change in strategy from the Iranian military as they continue to strike Israel with small barrages of missiles. Military analysts argue furiously - is this a deliberate strategy of steady attrition on Israel, or indicative of immense material constraints on Iran? Are the hits by Israel on real targets, or are they decoys? Does Iran wish to develop a nuke, or are they still hesitating? Will Iran and Yemen strike at US warships and bases in response to the attack, or will they merely continue striking only Israel?

And perhaps most importantly - will this conflict end diplomatically due to a lack of appetite for an extended war (to wit: not a peace but a 20 year armistice) or with Israel forced into major concessions including an end to their genocide? Or even with a total military/societal collapse of either side?


Last week's thread is here. The Imperialism Reading Group is here.

Please check out the RedAtlas!

The bulletins site is here. Currently not used.
The RSS feed is here. Also currently not used.

Israel-Palestine Conflict

If you have evidence of Israeli crimes and atrocities that you wish to preserve, there is a thread here in which to do so.

Sources on the fighting in Palestine against Israel. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:

UNRWA reports on Israel's destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.

English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news.
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.

English-language PalestineResist telegram channel.
More telegram channels here for those interested.

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict

Sources:

Defense Politics Asia's youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.
Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don't want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it's just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
Simplicius, who publishes on Substack. Like others, his political analysis should be soundly ignored, but his knowledge of weaponry and military strategy is generally quite good.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists' side.

Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.

Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:

Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.

https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster's telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a 'propaganda tax', if you don't believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.

Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:

Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.


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[–] mkultrawide@hexbear.net 33 points 2 months ago* (last edited 2 months ago) (4 children)

The only way a ceasefire holds until ~~2024~~ 2028 is if Iran makes Trump put some of his own money up as collateral and it's held by a party that will actually give it to Iran should the ceasefire be broken by the US or Israel.

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[–] MarmiteLover123@hexbear.net 33 points 2 months ago* (last edited 2 months ago)

Minister of foreign affairs in Iran, Abbas Araghchi, appears to confirm the ceasefire. Without using the word ceasefire, again.

Xcancel source

Twitter source

The fact that Iran's foreign minister is the first to confirm some sort of ceasefire is quite telling. Any comments from Israeli officials yet?

[–] iie@hexbear.net 32 points 2 months ago* (last edited 2 months ago) (2 children)

To what extent does US hegemony hinge on Iran?

*lol I posted this at the same time as the ceasefire announcement

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[–] OnceUponATimeInWeHo@hexbear.net 32 points 2 months ago* (last edited 2 months ago) (3 children)

~~Israel’s bombing Iraq again. Definitely somebody to make peace with.~~

Or maybe it’s the resistance that suddenly decided to target Baghdad international. Who’s to say.

God if this was the PMU after all this time…. Multiple Iraqi bases have been targeted and American aircraft have been scrambled

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[–] Rojo27@hexbear.net 32 points 2 months ago (4 children)

It'd be easy for me to be disappointed in Iranian leadership for seemingly accept some sort of deal/ceasefire, but they're in a tough position really. The optimist in me feels like they had placed enough pressure on Israel to actually knock them back. Maybe they couldn't achieve an outright military victory, but they had thoroughly disrupted day to day Israeli economic and day to day activities in a way that would probably have hurt them in the long run. The pessimist in me feels like they were in a dangerous place with American hawks baying for Iranian blood, and of course with the Zionazis already doing quite a lot of damage themselves. In the end I can only hope that they stay on their toes and don't let this ceasefire lull them into a false sense of security the way its seems some of the previous deals and diplomacy has.

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[–] RobnHood@hexbear.net 32 points 2 months ago
[–] Redcuban1959@hexbear.net 32 points 2 months ago

Brazil's Supreme Court resumes trial on regulation of social networks - Prensa Latina

Article

Brasilia, Jun 23 (Prensa Latina) Brazil's Supreme Federal Court (STF) resumes today the trial after the majority of its ministers voted in favor of holding social networks responsible for the illegal publications of their users.

So far, the entire court advocates for the platforms to be civilly liable before the courts for improper content, such as anti-democratic publications and against the electoral system.

Also for hate speech (racism and homophobia), incitement to crimes against the authorities and live broadcasts that induce suicide and self-harm in children and adolescents.

Justices Antonio Dias Toffoli, Luiz Fux, Flávio Dino, Cristiano Zanin, Gilmar Mendes, Alexandre de Moraes and the president of the STF, Luís Roberto Barroso, voted in favor of the commitment of social networks.

The only dissenter was Justice André Mendonça. Justices Edson Fachin, Kassio Nunes Marques and Cármen Lúcia Antunes have yet to issue their opinions.

The court is ruling on the constitutionality of article 19 of the Civil Framework of Internet Rights, a rule that also established the duties for the use of the network of networks in the South American giant.

One of the actions discusses whether or not this section is constitutional.

Such article requires that a specific court order be issued before websites, Internet service providers and social networking applications are held liable for harmful content posted by others.

The law, which came into force in 2014, functions as a sort of Constitution for the use of the virtual scenario in Brazil, as it establishes principles, guarantees, rights and duties for users and companies.

The majority criterion in the Supreme Court is that companies such as Google, Meta and X can be held civilly liable for illegal content even without a court order, in specific cases, such as serious crimes, systemic failures and sponsored publications.

During his vote, the rapporteur of one of the cases, Dias Toffoli argued that this liability model provided for in Article 19 of the Internet Civil Rights Framework is unconstitutional because, since its enactment, it has failed to provide effective protection of fundamental rights in virtual environments.

Fux, rapporteur of the other action, also voted in favor of the partial unconstitutionality of the norm, pointing out that the provision compromises the protection of fundamental rights and the fight against disinformation.

In De Moraes' opinion, the failure of self-regulation was demonstrated by the call for anti-democratic acts on January 8, 2023, carried out openly by social networks without any intervention by the platforms.

[–] OnceUponATimeInWeHo@hexbear.net 32 points 2 months ago* (last edited 2 months ago) (3 children)

Bad news guys, Israel didn’t listen to Trump calling for peace

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[–] jackmaoist@hexbear.net 32 points 2 months ago (1 children)
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[–] Redcuban1959@hexbear.net 31 points 2 months ago (2 children)

President Petro To Sign Labor Reform in Colombia - Telesur English

Article

The reform must be applied in every public or private company… Ignoring the law is to break democracy, he said. At midday on Wednesday, Colombian president Gustavo Petro will sign the Labor Reform law, which Congress approved on June 20.

His signature will put this law into effect, returning rights and recognizing the dignity of working people, the Colombian president said on social media.

“We invite you to the Quinta de Bolivar Museum House in Bogota to celebrate this historic act by which workers win. Colombia wins!” it added.

During a demonstration in Medellin on Saturday, Petro announced that thousands of Ministry of Labor inspectors will be hired to ensure compliance with the reform.

“In Colombia, labor reform was implemented 34 years late. There are Colombians who have not been able to live their lives because before the 1991 Constitution, they had no labor rights, and after that Constitution, they waited 34 years,” said Juan Carlos Monedero, an academic and international political analyst.

“The reform must be applied in every public or private company, from media outlets to factories, from the countryside to working-class neighborhoods. Ignoring the law is to break democracy,” the Colombian president said.

The law seeks to improve conditions for more than 10 million formal workers registered in the country. Among its most important benefits is the gradual increase in the additional compensation paid to workers who labor on Sundays or holidays to 100 percent.

The labor reform also defines nighttime working hours as beginning at 7 p.m., establishes employment contracts for apprentices of the National Learning Service (SENA) and eliminates the possibility of hiring workers by the hour.

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[–] WellTheresYourCobbler@hexbear.net 31 points 2 months ago (4 children)

I just now realized the title was Iran not harden your heart lmao I kept wondering what that was supposed to mean

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