this post was submitted on 23 Jun 2025
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Image is of the damage caused by an Iranian Kheibar Shekan ballistic missile in Israel, causing dozens of injuries.


Now in our second week of the conflict, we have seen continuing damage to both Israel and Iran, as well as direct US intervention which nonetheless seems to have caused limited damage to Fordow and little damage to Iran's nuclear program. Regime change seems more elusive than ever, as even Iranians previously critical of the government now rally around it as they are attacked by two rabid imperialists at once. And Iran's government is tentatively considering a withdrawal, or at minimum a reconsideration, of their membership to the IAEA and the NPT. And, of course, the Strait of Hormuz is still a tool in their arsenal.

A day or so on from the strike on Fordow, we have so far seen basically no change in strategy from the Iranian military as they continue to strike Israel with small barrages of missiles. Military analysts argue furiously - is this a deliberate strategy of steady attrition on Israel, or indicative of immense material constraints on Iran? Are the hits by Israel on real targets, or are they decoys? Does Iran wish to develop a nuke, or are they still hesitating? Will Iran and Yemen strike at US warships and bases in response to the attack, or will they merely continue striking only Israel?

And perhaps most importantly - will this conflict end diplomatically due to a lack of appetite for an extended war (to wit: not a peace but a 20 year armistice) or with Israel forced into major concessions including an end to their genocide? Or even with a total military/societal collapse of either side?


Last week's thread is here. The Imperialism Reading Group is here.

Please check out the RedAtlas!

The bulletins site is here. Currently not used.
The RSS feed is here. Also currently not used.

Israel-Palestine Conflict

If you have evidence of Israeli crimes and atrocities that you wish to preserve, there is a thread here in which to do so.

Sources on the fighting in Palestine against Israel. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:

UNRWA reports on Israel's destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.

English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news.
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.

English-language PalestineResist telegram channel.
More telegram channels here for those interested.

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict

Sources:

Defense Politics Asia's youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.
Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don't want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it's just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
Simplicius, who publishes on Substack. Like others, his political analysis should be soundly ignored, but his knowledge of weaponry and military strategy is generally quite good.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists' side.

Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.

Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:

Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.

https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster's telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a 'propaganda tax', if you don't believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.

Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:

Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.


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[–] Redcuban1959@hexbear.net 38 points 2 months ago

Bolivian leftist candidate keeps running mate - Prensa Latina

Article

La Paz, Jun 29 (Prensa Latina) Former Bolivian minister Mariana Prado (2017-2019) remains today as running mate of the presidential candidate of the leftist Alianza Popular, Andrónico Rodríguez, in view of the general elections of next August 17.

He also ratified her as a candidate for the vice-presidency of the State during a massive rally in the Villarroel square, in La Paz, at the official launching of her campaign for the elections.

Prado's possible candidacy was criticized by several sectors, despite being, together with Eva Copa (presidential candidate of the National Renewal Movement, Morena), the only woman candidate for one of the two most important posts in the country. For that reason her candidacy remained in suspense until now, however, against all odds, Rodriguez ratified it.

“With our colleague Mariana, who we made the decision to assume with so much responsibility for the future, we want to thank you for your contributions to the government program”, said the senatorial leader to his thousands of followers.

Likewise, he thanked his running mate for following him and ratified the purpose of leading the country after a victory in the elections.

Prada was next to the candidate in the platform installed in the center of the Villarroel Square, without making any speech, although he did greet the different popular sectors that attended the event.

Referring to the process of public acts that begin this week, Rodriguez warned about the intention of a “dirty war”. and reaffirmed that he “will not give up” in the fight for “better days”.

"We have 50 days of campaign and work to reach the Presidency and change our homeland.

Our process has to be up to the demands of the new times", said the legislator, originally from the Chapare area of Cochabamba.

He took the opportunity to criticize the candidates of other parties, whose past he criticized.

“The political actors that today are presenting themselves with a renewed suit are the same ones that have been part of the coalition governments, which have led to regression”, he said in reference to the right-wing candidates Jorge Tuto Quiroga, Samuel Doria Medina and Manfred Reyes Villa.

Five parties and five political alliances are competing in the campaign, according to the current electoral calendar.

Next August 17, Bolivians will go to the polls to elect the country's president, vice-president, 130 deputies, 36 senators and nine representatives to supra-state bodies.

All this is taking place in a context of division within the ruling party and the national popular movement camp, in which there is a fierce fight between the sectors related to Morales, President Luis Arce and Rodríguez, as if “the main enemy” did not exist, deplore the supporters of unity.

[–] ColombianLenin@hexbear.net 38 points 2 months ago (14 children)

So, what's everyone's take on the possibility of the US taking on China?

[–] thethirdgracchi@hexbear.net 38 points 2 months ago (1 children)

The possibility of the United States taking in China is non-zero, yes. But China is not Iran. You get into a hot war with China, you're fucked. China's air force right now has parity with the United States. Give it a few more years and China will have sixth generation fighters, America won't. China's anti-ship missiles and ballistics could destroy the entire US Pacific fleet and its bases with little effort. The United States lacks the will to pursue a war like this, and the global economy would implode.

[–] Z_Poster365@hexbear.net 38 points 2 months ago (1 children)

Iran: 90 million people

China: 1.4 billion people

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[–] Redcuban1959@hexbear.net 37 points 2 months ago

Cuba guest of honor at China Fair in Hungary - Prensa Latina

Article

Havana, Jun 28 (Prensa Latina) Cuba's ambassador to Budapest, Guillermo Vázquez, participated as guest of honor at the opening of the China Trade and Industry Fair in Hungary, the Cuban Foreign Ministry announced today.

According to the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, during the opening of the event he exchanged with Hungarian and Chinese authorities, to whom he declared the importance for the Caribbean nation of “economic-commercial ties with the Asian region and Eastern European countries”.

He also, the text notes, “extended invitations for the Havana International Fair, FIHAV 2025”.

Vázquez made a “tour of the Fair in the company of the Hungarian delegation headed by the First Vice President of the Hungarian Parliament and founder since the nineties of the Hungary-China Chamber of Commerce”, states the note.

[–] Redcuban1959@hexbear.net 37 points 2 months ago

Moldova to terminate treaty on cultural cooperation with Russia - Prensa Latina

Article

Chisinau, Jun 24 (Prensa Latina) Moldovan Foreign Minister Mikhail Popsoi said today that his country will not extend the treaty on cultural exchange and collaboration with Russia, concluded in 1998.

"The treaty on cultural exchange and cooperation with Russia signed in 1998 does not imply unilateral cancellation. We can only not prolong the treaty. And we have already made it clear to the Russian side," Popsoi told TV8 on Tuesday.

The head of state said that the decision of the Moldovan side is final and he “would like, like all the citizens who support this decision, to make it sooner”, but Chisinau is obliged to respect the international law.

At the same time, the chancellor was vague when it came to mentioning a specific date for terminating the validity of the agreement. “Within a couple of months or six months, I don't remember precisely, but it seems to me that before a year,” he commented.

Popsoi stressed that Moldova maintains appreciation for the Russian language and culture, “the good things we had in our history.”

Earlier, the deputy of the Electoral Bloc of Communists and Socialists, Bogdan Tirdea, stated that the Moldovan authorities had initiated the process of termination of the agreement to close the Russian Center of Science and Culture in Chisinau, revealing that the ruling Party of Action and Solidarity had submitted the corresponding initiative to the parliament.

On February 13, the Moldovan Foreign Ministry announced that it had unilaterally terminated the agreement with Russia on the establishment and operation of cultural centers, which meant that the Russian Center for Science and Culture would have to cease its activities.

The decision of the Moldovan authorities to close the Russian cultural center that has been operating for 16 years provoked severe criticism from social organizations that bring together citizens of different nationalities with interest in Russian culture.

Relations between Russia and Moldova began to deteriorate after the current president Maia Sandu, who follows a pro-European policy, came to power in the republic at the end of 2020.

Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov said Moldova under the current government aspires to become a hostile country for Russia, while Moscow calls on Chisinau to respect the interests of its own citizens and not to hinder the development of human contacts and interregional ties with the Eurasian giant.

The Russian Foreign Ministry in turn called on the Moldovan authorities to put an end to anti-Russian confrontational rhetoric in the country, stressing that it intends to maintain friendly relations and is against Western attempts to use Moldova for anti-Russian purposes.

[–] DengistDonnieDarko@hexbear.net 37 points 2 months ago* (last edited 2 months ago) (1 children)

~~I'd like to think that this ceasefire will work in Iran's favor. Iran's number one goal is, or definitely SHOULD be, creating or otherwise obtaining functional nuclear weapons. I imagine that's significantly easier to do when you aren't under bombardment. yes, I am disappointed that tel aviv hasn't been flattened yet, but the goal has to be obtaining nuclear arms. even if the supposed ceasefire only lasts a few weeks, I'm sure that time is sorely needed to focus efforts on nuke acquisition.~~

~~I'm not on board the nothing ever happens train, I still think things are happening and the ceasefire will inevitably be broken, because it's an Israeli ceasefire, it goes without saying. I will also say~~ I am a dumb krakkker amerikan ~~sitting comfy in my armchair saying "hmmm yes, of course, masterful gambit etc etc" while refreshing the news mega, so who really knows.~~

EDIT: lmao should've seen that coming

[–] Z_Poster365@hexbear.net 36 points 2 months ago* (last edited 2 months ago) (11 children)

I think their number one goal should be purchasing thousands of medium and long range anti-air systems and electronic warfare systems from China and transporting into the country and training their troops on their use. This has proven to be more important than nukes. If they need to give them a good deal on oil or something to do it, then they should do so.

They still need the nukes to deter Israel/USA from using nukes against them. However, that will probably come later along. Short term goal needs to be defense against jets ASAP.

Their number two goal needs to be rooting out all the mossad spies and traitors embedded throughout the country, confiscating all of their stashed weaponry and explosives and setting up networks of checkpoints to inspect trucks.

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[–] CthulhusIntern@hexbear.net 37 points 2 months ago (1 children)

I woke up pretty late today. What the fuck did I just wake up to?

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[–] Redcuban1959@hexbear.net 37 points 2 months ago (1 children)

Any news about Israeli drone strikes in southern Lebanon?

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