this post was submitted on 24 Mar 2025
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Image is of Gazans breaking their fast with the Iftar meal during the ongoing Ramadan.

Due to a request by @miz@hexbear.net, this thread's COTW is Qatar.


The ceasefire deal broke down early last week after Israel unilaterally changed the terms of the agreement and then blamed Hamas for not meeting them. Violence against civilians has rapidly accelerated to pre-ceasefire levels, with many hundreds dead already, aid once again cut off, and Israeli soldiers once again entering and occupying the attritional labyrinth that is Gaza.

I'm not yet in a position to make any solid predictions or analysis, as the geopolitical situation in and around Israel has changed fairly substantially over the last 6 months; in some ways benefiting Israel, and in other ways not. We know for sure how Hamas and Ansarallah are reacting (thankfully, with open hostility to both Israel and the United States), but the state of Hezbollah has been a giant question mark for months now, and precisely what Iran plans to do (beyond the usual level of supplying weaponry and intelligence to all the allies it can) is unknown. Syria will be almost certainly be a big wildcard, and we'll have to see if the compradors in Damascus can weather the storm.


Last week's thread is here.
The Imperialism Reading Group is here.

Please check out the HexAtlas!

The bulletins site is here. Currently not used.
The RSS feed is here. Also currently not used.

Israel-Palestine Conflict

If you have evidence of Israeli crimes and atrocities that you wish to preserve, there is a thread here in which to do so.

Sources on the fighting in Palestine against Israel. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:

UNRWA reports on Israel's destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.

English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news.
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.

English-language PalestineResist telegram channel.
More telegram channels here for those interested.

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict

Sources:

Defense Politics Asia's youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.
Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don't want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it's just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
Simplicius, who publishes on Substack. Like others, his political analysis should be soundly ignored, but his knowledge of weaponry and military strategy is generally quite good.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists' side.

Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.

Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:

Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.

https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster's telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a 'propaganda tax', if you don't believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.

Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:

Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.


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[–] ThomasMuentzner@hexbear.net 1 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago) (10 children)

London without Ninjas will not be the same..

[–] ziggurter@hexbear.net 1 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago)

Yeah, I bet a huge portion of knife crimes are committed with fucking katanas.

Why didn't they go for scimitars? Would've been a better match for the current flavor of racism and xenophobia.

[–] Evilphd666@hexbear.net 1 points 1 month ago

Next year we're banning Magic Chef brand knives. Anything but actually addressing the decline in material conditions that drive extreme behaviors.

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[–] Lovely_sombrero@hexbear.net 1 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago) (2 children)

Rumor is that US Hedge Funds are already asking the federal government to prepare for a bailout. The last time that the US government bailed out hedge funds was when they bailed out basis trades. Basically, hedge funds are getting reliable profits from tiny differences between Treasuries and derivatives, but this is only profitable as long as the government bails you out when you would be taking a loss. Last time a government bailout of this sector happened was 2019/2020. Imagine playing in a casino and when you lose, the government covers that, but you are free to walk away with any winnings.

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[–] ziggurter@hexbear.net 1 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago) (1 children)

Pretty good article. Especially the conclusion.

Spoiler: we're not at war with Iran, and the empire is doing nothing new... yet anyway

...

I will focus on three articles as a body of work and argue that they create a false sensationalist narrative that can only exist in a vacuum devoid of context.

...

What I see in the above three articles is a desire to conflate being at war, undergoing special preparations for war, and the Empire’s routine bellicose statecraft. This gives readers a near existential-threat which widens the window of acceptable non-war responses, and distracts from other material issues.

...

The goal here isn’t to defend Trump. It’s to refocus liberals that I feel would otherwise run around pretending like they’re hippie pacifists, all while defending a genocide in Palestine. If you don’t want a War with Iran, and you want an explicit and principled anti-war peace ticket, you need to look at least as far left as the Green Party. Rest assured, the GOP’s rhetoric is always going to be threats and chest pounding. The Democratic rhetoric is always going to trail the GOP by a single hair.

This USA is in bed with Israel and Saudi Arabia both of which view Iran as an existential threat. If The Empire continues to exist in its current form, war will never be off the table and there will always be well maintained plans for a nuclear strike on Iran. A strike which will result in the deaths of hundreds of thousands with an invasion that will easily kill a million. At least until a Mullah figures out how to refine enough Uranium to secure the regime.

If you think Trump is the worst president ever, you’re wrong. George W. Bush ran circles around Trump. I remember George W. Bush. When we’re seriously considering a war with Iran, they’ll bring back Section 9528 of No Child Left Behind (2002) or some similar Obama-era nonsense with a nicer veneer. Then we will again have military recruiters at our high school lunch tables. I remember those days. Iran won’t be a cake walk. If and when we get serious, we’ll give high school kids invitations to the imperial meat grinder.

Good stuff on the rhetoric, nuclear doctrine, etc. in the elided sections. But this summarizes the essence of the message, I think.

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[–] SexMachineStalin@hexbear.net 1 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago)

The Constitutional Court has denied Afriforum's appeal and stated that the song "Kill the Boer" does not constitute hate speech. L bozos

packwatch anti-cracker-aktion

Speaking of Bozo, as in the likely upcoming US ambassador, he's probably going to declare the Constitutional Court and everyone of the 200,000 people living within a kilometer of the courthouse as Hamas

Kill the Boer, Kill the Settler. BRRAAAT BRRRRAAAAAT

Death to ameriKKKa

[–] mkultrawide@hexbear.net 1 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago) (1 children)

New: Rubio confirmed he revoked the visa of the Tufts student and said he likely has revoked the visas of hundreds more. “We do it every day. Every time I find one of these lunatics, I take way their visas." The total # of revoked visas “might be more than 300 at this point." The student had co-authored an opinion column on Gaza in the student newspaper. Rubio was asked what she did to merit her visa being revoked, but did not offer specifics to her case, only suggesting that his criteria goes beyond writing columns.

https://x.com/John_Hudson/status/1905315517642281226

https://xcancel.com/John_Hudson/status/1905315517642281226

Asked if they have any intelligence to suggest foreign backing for pro-Palestinian college protests, Director of National Intelligence Tulsi Gabbard tells Congress, "there are some assessments that reflect that and we can talk about that in the closed session."

https://x.com/kenklippenstein/status/1905111743711289707

https://xcancel.com/kenklippenstein/status/1905111743711289707

There is a clear moment here to cast Zionism as a direct threat to "American liberties" (I know a lot of people here won't phrase like that but it is what it is) but I highly doubt any Democrats have the spine to push it.

[–] Fishroot@hexbear.net 1 points 1 month ago (2 children)

Asked if they have any intelligence to suggest foreign backing for pro-Palestinian college protests, Director of National Intelligence Tulsi Gabbard tells Congress, "there are some assessments that reflect that and we can talk about that in the closed session."

A golden rule is that if they have so called concrete evidence, they would of blasted to everyone by now. The fact that it`s closed session, you know what you are dealing with.

This is if they are courteous, Israel and the US are not even justifying blasting a hospital in Gaza this week.

[–] Z_Poster365@hexbear.net 1 points 1 month ago (1 children)

Yeah it was the same with Russiagate crap. Constant closed door hearings and when any “proof” leaked it was laughably stupid shit like Russia buying a Buff Bernie ad and spending $8,231 dollars or whatever

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[–] SexUnderSocialism@hexbear.net 1 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago) (4 children)

In the Netherlands (ruled by a fascist coalition government) a bill sponsored by the neolib social democrat leader of the biggest opposition party (GL-PvdA) to help fund Radio Free Europe to make up for the loss of US funds was passed. Even the Socialist Party voted in favor. The only parties who opposed it were the CDA (right-wing Christian democrats), FVD (fascists), and PVV (fascists).

agony-consuming

[–] MarmiteLover123@hexbear.net 1 points 1 month ago (1 children)

The left giving up the "anti imperialist" position to the right is quite a worrying sign. And it's been happening in Europe since the start of the Ukraine - Russia war.

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[–] Eldungeon2@hexbear.net 1 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago)

The European socialist or social democratic parties are just American democrats tbh

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[–] Redcuban1959@hexbear.net 1 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago) (1 children)

After ex-President Jair Bolsonaro was formally charged with leading an armed criminal organization to plot a military coup by the Supreme Court today, he said, "discussing hypotheses isn't a crime." Not only is he wrong, he's confessed again. I'll explain why here: Bolsonaro's argument that merely discussing a coup is not illegal fails because:

  1. Intent matters: If discussions involve planning, recruitment, or incitement, they cross into criminal conspiracy.
  1. National security laws do not require the coup to succeed—preparatory acts (like organizing meetings, securing weapons, or drafting plans) are already crimes;
  1. Brazilian courts have ruled that even theoretical planning can be punishable if it shows a concrete threat to democracy.

In Tokyo, Brazil's President Lula said there's no use for ex-President Bolsonaro to pretend he's being persecuted. "It's clear that the ex-president tried to stage a coup in Brazil. It is clear that he tried to help plan my assassination. "and the assassinations of the vice president and the former president of the Brazilian Electoral Court. [...] He knows what he did. There's no use begging for amnesty before the trial, that amounts to saying, 'I'm guilty.' He should focus on trying to prove his innocence."

Twitter

[–] PorkrollPosadist@hexbear.net 1 points 1 month ago (2 children)

It was only a conspiracy, your honor.

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[–] SoyViking@hexbear.net 1 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago) (4 children)

Dead Letters: Neoliberalism Kills Mail Delivery In Denmark

Postal services in the Nordic hermit kingdom will cease at the end of this year after 401 years of continuous operations. Postal operator PostNord, a neoliberal "run it like a business" abomination jointly owned by the Danish and Swedish states, has announced that it is no longer profitable to distribute letters and that they will end the service. The iconic red letterboxes will be removed from the streets, postage stamps will no longer be issued and 1.500 mail carriers will be fired.

Read more...

Some mail delivery services will be offered by private companies that will distribute mail together with newspapers and parcels. People will have to buy stamps for the privatised service online and hand in letters at shops. Unlike an actual postal system this privatised delivery service will be free to only provide services in areas where it is deemed profitable and the end of the public postal system is predicted to hit the hardest in remote areas and among the elderly.

PostNord will continue to deliver parcels but given that the parcel delivery market is a highly liberalised one with several private actors it is hard to see how the organisation will avoid being privatised.

[–] Sam@hexbear.net 1 points 1 month ago (1 children)

Thats crazy, obviously people dont send recreational letters much anymore, but its still a key aspect in a lot of business stuff. Getting a new passport, setting up bank accounts. As someone who doesn't regularly check their email or phone I kind of rely on the post to tell me important shit, in my mind if the company wont send you a letter it isnt important enough.

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[–] Frank@hexbear.net 1 points 1 month ago (1 children)

Damn that is dark. Mail service is one of the fundamental pillars of civilization.

[–] SoyViking@hexbear.net 1 points 1 month ago

They really hate the idea of the government doing stuff because stuff needs to get done. Utilities, transit, public housing, mail delivery, periodic car inspections, getting a new passport - it all has to work like a busines and be profitable.

[–] StillNoLeftLeft@hexbear.net 1 points 1 month ago (1 children)

This is crazy. How are they going to deliver official sensitive mail that I assume is protected in the state run postal service?

In my work I send people a lot of old fashioned mail still and these rely on the laws and regulations of the postal services. It would not be possible to mail these via any private operator without breaking the law. I assume this is similar in all the nordic countries, but maybe not?

[–] SoyViking@hexbear.net 1 points 1 month ago (1 children)

Official mail is delivered digitally. A couple thousand of mostly elderly people have been exempt from having to use digital mail. The government will now have to pay a private business to deliver those letters. They recently changed the law to "liberalise" the "postal market" so it is completely legal.

[–] StillNoLeftLeft@hexbear.net 1 points 1 month ago

Well that sucks, so many struggle with digital services, not just the elderly but this also fully futher excludes people with no papers or phones etc. Just like the move away from cash which has genuinely made public transport inaccesible to the poors. Afaik Stockholm with its endless brainworms about gangs is a real poster city for this exclusion atm.

The digital boom is a thing here too, but it's still mandatory to deliver anything official by mail if it has anything to do with the persons rights, healthcare, services etc. People can opt in to a digital service though.

Pretty sure we will follow on this one too, whatever shitty thing the big boi nordic countries do, we follow a decade later latest.

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[–] FuckyWucky@hexbear.net 1 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago) (1 children)

Imma be honest, courts in developing countries have more teeth than this.

https://x.com/ryangrim/status/1905604580957729119

courts in developing countries have more teeth than this.

The U.S has teeth alright, chewing up them students like that. It is beginning to reveal its stinking fascist maw.

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