It is in everyone’s interest to gradually adjust to the notion that technology can now perform tasks once thought to require years of specialized education and experience.

The years of specialized education and experience is not for writing code in and of itself. Anyone with an internet connection can learn to do that in not that long. What takes years to perfect is writing reliable, optimized, secure code, communicating and working efficiently with others, writing code that can be maintained by others long after you leave, knowing the theories behind why code written in a certain way works better than code written in some other way, and knowing the qualitative and quantitative measures to even be able to assess whether one piece of code is "better" than the other. Source: Self-learned programming, started building stuff on my own, and then went through an actual computer science program. You miss so much nuance and underlying theory when you self-learn, which directly translates bad code that's a nightmare to maintain.

Finally, the most important thing you can do with the person that has years of specialized education and experience is you can actually have a conversation with them about their code, ask them to explain in detail how it works and the process they used to write it. Then you can ask them followup questions and request further clarification. Trying to get AI to explain itself is a complete shitshow, and while humans do have a propensity to make shit up to cover their own/their coworkers' asses, AI does that even when it make no sense not to tell the truth because it doesn't really know what "the truth" is and why other people would want it.

Will AI eventually catch up? Almost certainly, but we're nowhere close to that right now. Currently it's less like an actual professional developer and more like someone who knows just enough to copy paste snippets from Stack Overflow and hack them together into a program that manages to compile.

I think the biggest takeaway with AI programming is not that it can suddenly do just as well as someone with years of specialized education and experience, but that we're going to get a lot more shitty software that look professional on the surface, but is a dumpster fire inside.

This industry also spends most of it's money either changing things that don't need to change (we optimized the right click menu to remove this item, mostly to fuck your muscle memory) or to avoid changing things (rather than implementing 2fa, banks have implemented 58372658 distinct algorithms for detecting things that might be fraud).

If you're just talking about enabling small scale innovation you're probably right, but if you're talking about the industry as a whole I think you need to look at what people in industry are actually spending their time on.

it's not code.

AI writes shitty code that's full of security holes, and Leo here has probably taken zero steps to further secure his code. He broadcasts his AI written software and its open season for hackers.