this post was submitted on 20 Dec 2023
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[–] Heresy_generator@kbin.social 185 points 11 months ago* (last edited 11 months ago) (4 children)

The news media needs to stop using the word "reunify" to refer to the PRC's threatened imperial conquest of an island they've never controlled.

[–] kool_newt@lemm.ee 30 points 11 months ago (1 children)

Yep, this word is used intentionally by Xi and he knows he means "conquer the nation developed by the people that escaped his predecessors".

[–] brambledog@lemmy.today 5 points 11 months ago (1 children)

The nation wasn't developed by the people who escaped. That's an ahistorical way of framing the issue

Taiwan was developed by the overthrown proto-fascist military junta who just lost the civil war. After taking the island, they didn't tell the people of Taiwan that the war had been over and they were no longer China until 1991. The first labor laws outlawing slavery were introduced to the people of Taiwan in 2006. The people of Taiwan still consider themselves China (it is afterall the name they go by, not Taiwan) and full Taiwanese independence is still a minority held belief on the actual island.

Just to be clear, I am a supporter of their independence, but this is a very messy situation in which the political party who comrade the country is the same fascist party who lost the war in the first place and still maintains to the UN that they are the legitimate government of the mainland. Full separation is convenient for the West, but neither side actually wants that, they just don't want to be ruled by either fascists or communists, and I think that is incredibly fair for all people actually involved to want.

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[–] someguy3@lemmy.world 18 points 11 months ago* (last edited 11 months ago) (2 children)

of an island they've never controlled.

Oh boy this might get me downvoted. Saying the Communist Party never controlled it is a tautology. That's what happens when there's a civil war that turns into a stalemate: one side does not control the land of the other side. So of course the Communist side never controlled it. This is ducking the nuance of what the actual situation is, that there was a civil war that never ended.

[–] poVoq@slrpnk.net 17 points 11 months ago* (last edited 11 months ago)

Even before that Taiwan did not belong to the rest of China.

There were some settlers from the main land, but the indigenous population always controlled most of the island and the Chinese settlers were careful not to antagonize them.

This lasted for hundreds of years, pretty much until a brief period at the end of the 19th century when the Chinese government decided to send troops to brutally subjugate the indigenous population, only to shortly after lose control of Taiwan to the Japanese.

[–] Aurenkin@sh.itjust.works 7 points 11 months ago

It's a historical fact but how is it a tautology? Territory can change hands during a civil war as evidenced by the RoC no longer controlling China. Unless I'm misunderstanding something. Either way I don't think that changes the point, if that's a tautology then claiming that it can be reunified is a contradiction.

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[–] FartsWithAnAccent@lemmy.world 63 points 11 months ago* (last edited 11 months ago) (19 children)

If they invade, won't all the chip fabrication places just blow all their shit up and wipe systems? Pretty sure TSMC said that was the plan.

Doesn't seem like they'll be able to capture a whole lot aside from land and that will come at a pretty steep cost I'd imagine.

[–] Alivrah@lemmy.world 33 points 11 months ago

I heard about that too. The technology produced there is too valuable to be left to invaders.

[–] BackOnMyBS@lemmy.world 21 points 11 months ago (1 children)

The chip thing is definitely an issue. However, even if they didn't get any chip tech or factories, they still get the island. Militarily speaking, the situation is similar to Cuba and US during the Cold War. Taking control of the island will grant them more military security. Additionally, it will grant them control over the shipping lanes in the surroundings waters, which are heavily used for international trade.

The US needs it for trade/their economy. China needs it to protect itself and gain more economic power. For these reasons, it makes sense for both China and the US to be heavily interested in controlling Taiwan. Personally, I really don't see a likely solution to avoiding military conflict unless the powers of the two sides figure out how to resolve their antagonism, which I think is unlikely without a change in Chinese leadership.

[–] TranscendentalEmpire@lemm.ee 8 points 11 months ago

Militarily speaking, the situation is similar to Cuba and US during the Cold War. Taking control of the island will grant them more military security.

I don't really know if that makes a whole bunch of sense..... The only country with the capabilities of attacking China is the US. The only real provocation that may spark that military conflict is an attack on Taiwan or South Korea.

Taiwan isn't even that advantageous of a location for an invasion either way, the strait of Formosa would be a death trap for any amphibious landing. The most militarily important region for China is and always has been the Korean peninsula.

I think Chinas main motivation is that Taiwan disrupts their plans to completely control trade routes in the South China sea. Once the 9 dash line is under control and expanded to include the territorial waters of Taiwan, China will have a defacto monopoly on trade for most of eastern Asia.

[–] someguy3@lemmy.world 13 points 11 months ago

The land is most of what they want. Taiwan is militarily strategic land, it essentially blocks all access to the Pacific.

[–] Endorkend@kbin.social 6 points 11 months ago

Thing is, that would only bring them to parity for the current gen, which they would instantly fall behind on having to start everything up again and train or force people into running the modern nodes.

These fabs (and pretty much ALL fabs) depend on tech to run their processes and make their chips, which isn't made in Taiwan.

If they do it for the silicon, they'll also need to take a good chunk of West Europe.

Would it set the West back a bit? Yes, but not all that much. There are non Eastern fabs up to date and the people in Taiwan trained to operate bulk fabs are probably on a shortlist for extraction targets too.

[–] winterayars@sh.itjust.works 4 points 11 months ago (2 children)

Even just destroying the competition makes their stuff much more valuable.

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[–] S3verin@slrpnk.net 19 points 11 months ago (1 children)

"Reunify". Just like Putin tries to reunify Ukraine with Russland... Strange how one is called Invasion and the other Reunifying

[–] phoenixz@lemmy.ca 9 points 11 months ago (1 children)

This is xi calling it reunification. It's just your average land grab invasion based off "but 300 years ago we successfully conquered if and had it for almost a century so we have the right to conquer it again!"

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[–] YeetPics@mander.xyz 18 points 11 months ago (47 children)

"Re-unify" is dipshit-speak for invade, pillage and crush.. for anyone wondering.

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[–] Maggoty@lemmy.world 17 points 11 months ago (5 children)

A. Xi said they would prefer to do it peacefully.

B. Autocratic regimes routinely define "peacefully" as a coup or overnight invasion.

C. Xi specifically set an atmosphere of strategic uncertainty by saying a time "hadn't been decided".

That tells me they've given up on winning elections in Taiwan. If they're scheduling it then it's not on Taiwan's election schedule. Ergo, definitely not peacefully in democratic terms.

Well it will be interesting at least.

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[–] someguy3@lemmy.world 11 points 11 months ago* (last edited 11 months ago) (1 children)

Someone said after Russia's military was shown to be a farce, that if they were China they'd be shitting their pants and immediately launch an investigation into how good their military actually is.

[–] Endorkend@kbin.social 17 points 11 months ago (5 children)

China has the advantage of actually having enough people to do the meat for the grinder approach though.

[–] someguy3@lemmy.world 5 points 11 months ago (1 children)

True but that doesn't work too well to invade an island.

[–] ares35@kbin.social 7 points 11 months ago (4 children)

eventually the bodies will pile-up enough that the next batch can just walk over.

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[–] DarkGamer@kbin.social 4 points 11 months ago* (last edited 11 months ago)

China's big problem is what they offer internationally is cheap labor and they're going through a population collapse now, like other countries that ascend economically, people have fewer kids and younger workers want better salaries and conditions, (understandably so!) This combined with the US's trade war with them has caused international companies to move a lot of production to other impoverished nations like Bangladesh, Vietnam, and Mexico, among others instead of to China. China's economic miracle was because of this large pool of population that is vanishing. Sacrificing soldiers of reproductive age would accelerate this problem.

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[–] ares35@kbin.social 11 points 11 months ago (1 children)

ROC is gonna take back the mainland?

[–] FartsWithAnAccent@lemmy.world 15 points 11 months ago (2 children)
[–] toasteecup@lemmy.world 7 points 11 months ago (2 children)

Glory to Taiwan and their West Taiwan acquisition project!

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[–] psychothumbs@lemmy.world 11 points 11 months ago

Take the hint Xi, she's just not into you.

[–] YoBuckStopsHere@lemmy.world 9 points 11 months ago

China gaining Taiwan would end global trade. That is the reason no one will let them forcibly take it.

[–] DarkGamer@kbin.social 8 points 11 months ago (3 children)

It's wild how they're still obsessed with Taiwan, despite CCP being recognized as China for many decades now. I wonder how much of this is elderly people who still consider the civil war unfinished and how much is strategic. It seems like invading would not be in China's interest. Perhaps they want to do it before their demographic population collapse occurs.

[–] hddsx@lemmy.ca 6 points 11 months ago (3 children)

It’s a Chinese thing. PRC and ROC (officially) both see “China” as including the “province” of Taiwan.

Part of it is brainwashing on the PRC side - they are taught from elementary school that Taiwan is a part of China. Part of it is ROC stubborness. It’s even a political issue within Taiwan. While the younger generation generally sees Taiwan as an independent country, the KMT and the older generation refuses to let go of mainland China.

Chinese culture also has the famous line that translates roughly to “after having been united for a while, it must split. After having been split for a while, it must unite” that refers to China in general. Taiwan, HK, and “China” have been split for a bit and the PRC wants to see it reunited.

[–] DarkGamer@kbin.social 4 points 11 months ago* (last edited 11 months ago)

The problem is that any such reunification would presumably be on the PRC's terms, and that didn't turn out so well for Hong Kong.

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[–] kool_newt@lemm.ee 7 points 11 months ago* (last edited 11 months ago) (4 children)

China is hostage state that nurtures Stockholm Syndrome in it's population (similar to DPRK and others). You can only "leave" if it's deemed useful and safe for China (i.e. you have Stockholm Syndrome strongly enough). And those that leave are still under control, i.e. their (edited) behavior can be coerced by using carrot and stick methods on their family and loved ones.

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[–] ILikeBoobies@lemmy.ca 6 points 11 months ago (1 children)

By having the CCP step down, right?

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[–] PriorityMotif@lemmy.world 4 points 11 months ago (1 children)

I thought they were holding hands at first glance. 🥰

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[–] theodewere@kbin.social 4 points 11 months ago

simple extortion from the boss of a criminal mafia

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