this post was submitted on 20 Oct 2025
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Ukraine

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Lost in the awfulness of this entire pointless genocidal vanity revenge project is just how historically badly it is going for Russia. From an initial goal of total conquest, in a month their truce startping point has slid from 1) Total Capitulation to 2) All 4 'annexed' regions plus Crimea, disarmament & constitutional neutrality to 3) Give us Donbas, and maybe our stooges in the U.N. can run Ukraine to 4) Please freeze the lines and give us something, and stop hitting our gas facilities. Trump, as always, overplayed his hand with leverage he doesn't actually have, and now has nearly no sway over Ukraine - Zelensky is tellin him flat 'No'. European and domestic support is probably enough to keep Russia from any meaningful strategic wins at this point against a severaly degraded and over rated Russian army.

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[–] fibojoly@sh.itjust.works 17 points 1 week ago (1 children)

Winter is going to be interesting.

[–] CitizenKong@lemmy.world 13 points 1 week ago

I'm not a historian but I would expect that being an occupying/invading force in winter is always worse than being the force native to the land.