this post was submitted on 30 Jun 2025
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[–] thethirdgracchi@hexbear.net 2 points 2 weeks ago (1 children)

The dollar is going to remain central to the global economy until either China offers a replacement for a massive consumer market for other countries to dump their excess production into or the American empire is not longer capable of threatening other countries into using dollars. Also, that article you shared is using a long debunked rumour from a few months ago. SWIFT is still far bigger the CIPS, it processes around ~$35 trillion a day (per https://archive.is/YEWAx), which is far larger than even the figure the article you shared uses as a source (which says that CIPS processed ~$2 trillion in one day). Likewise, that source itself has been disputed by the Chinese central bank, per: https://finance.eastmoney.com/a/202504183381053098.html

昨日,市场有传闻称,当日人民币跨境支付系统(CIPS)的单天交易量出现天量增长,引发社会各界高度关注。今日上午,中国银行相关人士向财联社记者表示,上述网传消息不实。

[–] yogthos@lemmygrad.ml 3 points 2 weeks ago* (last edited 2 weeks ago)

Another obvious option is a BRICS currency along the lines of Bancor that Keynes suggested which could be backed by a basket of commodities. This would be a far more appealing option because it would ensure that a single country wouldn't dominate global financial system the way US does today. However, in the short term bilateral swaps work just fine as can be seen at scale in Russia which is cut out of western trade pretty much entirely at this point.

It's also not clear to me what leverage the US has into threatening countries into using the dollar. The main leverage the US has is its shrinking consumer market. As we already saw with the tariff war, the US can't throw its weight around like it used to.

And noted regarding the article, but that doesn't affect my original point that there doesn't need to be a direct replacement for the dollar for the dollar to fall out of use.