this post was submitted on 20 Feb 2025
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NASA just changed the odds of asteroid YR4 hitting Earth in 2032 yet again (www.livescience.com)
submitted 1 day ago* (last edited 1 day ago) by floofloof@lemmy.ca to c/space@lemmy.world
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NASA increased the chances of asteroid 2024 YR4 hitting Earth to 1 in 32, or 3.1%, on Tuesday, but they're now back down to 1 in 67, or 1.5%.

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[โ€“] towerful@programming.dev 31 points 1 day ago (3 children)

Predicting an impact 2500 days in the future - taking into account n-body physics while also trying to measure the objects current position and velocity as accurately as possible - is an impressive feat of science & technology.
I imagine this is going to change year on year until we have to train drillers to be astronauts.

[โ€“] artificialfish@programming.dev 2 points 1 day ago

Is it being influenced by other objects its size or just the planets mostly?

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