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The legal standard for an injunction also includes a "likelihood of success on the merits." The judge agrees with the banks in his ruling that they are likely to succeed on the case. So unfortunately the injunction is a signal there is a good chance he rules in the banks favor ultimately. Though he spends a bunch of the ruling just talking about how he's mad this case was kicked back to him. He only spends like a page talking about if the legal standard for injunction has been met or not.
https://www.consumerfinancemonitor.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/14/2024/05/US_DIS_TXND_4_24cv213_d230938971e185_OPINION_ORDER_Before_the_Court_is_Plaintiffs_Motio.pdf
Not just likelihood of success, but also whether any irreparable harm could occur while the case is being decided, in the event the case favors the plaintiffs. In this case, if card companies are only allowed to collect $8 while the case is ongoing, and then a judge ruling they are allowed to collect more than that, means there's a monetary loss that will have happened. Now I wouldn't be crying if credit card companies are forced to stop ripping people off, and absolutely fuck the Chamber of Commerce, but that's what it is.
Yes I agree, but it doesn't just have to meet some of those criteria to get an injunction, it has to meet all those criteria, including likelihood of success. They can't just argue irreparable harm only if the judge thinks they're unlikely to succeed. The judge seems to agree with them in that section of the ruling that he thinks that the rule is likely unconstitutional. And conservative judges have been pretty hostile to the consumer financial protection bureau in general. I'm not holding my breath, at least not for this judge, but maybe ultimately on appeal the cfpb will still succeed in the end.
Since credit card companies are currently allowed to charge outrageous fees, that would be akin to an ex post facto action so no they wouldn't. Also while said fees are outrageous, the harm to consumers isn't relevant because the suit is between credit card companies and the government.
So keep in mind that harm as a legal concept is not the same as the general definition of harm. In the legal world, harm must be caused by the defendants to the plaintiffs. In this case, the government preventing card companies from collecting outrageous late fees does cause them monetary harm, so the question will be if the government has the right to do so.